Tracking real-time hotspots in the cryptocurrency market and seizing the best trading opportunities. Today is Thursday, May 15, 2025. I am Wang Yibo! Good morning, crypto friends! ☀️ Die-hard fans check in 👍 Like to make big money 🍗🍗🌹🌹

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[Macroeconomic Market Dynamics]

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U.S. stocks closed lower on Wednesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average initially down 0.2%, the S&P 500 index slightly up 0.1%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index up 0.7%. Tesla (TSLA.O) rose 4%, marking six consecutive trading days of gains. Google A (GOOGL.O) increased by 3.6%, and Nvidia (NVDA.O) rose 4%, accumulating a 16% increase this week.

According to CME's "FedWatch," the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in June is 91.7%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 8.3%; the probability of maintaining rates in July is 63.3%, with a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut probability of 34.2% and a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut probability of 2.6%.

The cryptocurrency market is equally vibrant, with rapidly changing hotspots. As we reach the halfway point of a red May, the market is about to enter the second half of the trend. Looking back at the early part of the month, many investors missed profitable opportunities, often due to blindly chasing highs and selling lows while hesitating. Now, the market has entered a phase of short-term fluctuations and corrections, and profit-taking is a normal phenomenon. The pace of sector rotation is accelerating, and investors who find it difficult to grasp this may fall into ineffective operational dilemmas. Therefore, for investors who are confused about market trends and lack professional investment knowledge, it is crucial to avoid blind operations; a cautious wait-and-see approach may be a wiser choice at this time.

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[Bitcoin Market Analysis]

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Bitcoin's market performance has been relatively stable. After the price dipped to the key support level of 102,500, it quickly rebounded and gradually formed a slow upward oscillation trend, currently maintaining a range around 103,500.

From a technical analysis perspective, the overall Bitcoin market is currently in a consolidation pattern, with both bulls and bears engaged in intense competition. In the past three trading days, the K-line pattern has frequently shown long lower shadows, with alternating bullish and bearish K-lines, and each pullback low has shown a continuous upward trend. These technical signals indicate that in the fierce competition between bulls and bears, the bullish forces have gained the upper hand, making it difficult for bears to establish a sustained downward trend, and the market shows a strong ability to recover lost ground.

Switching to a four-hour level for further observation, the price quickly rebounded after experiencing two brief downward candles, and the support level has clearly moved up, indicating that buying power below is continuously strengthening. Comprehensive multi-dimensional technical analysis suggests that Bitcoin is likely to continue its oscillating upward trend, and after sufficient momentum accumulation, it may seek an upward breakout.

In terms of short-term operations, it is expected that Bitcoin's price may first experience a slight pullback to accumulate momentum for subsequent rises, and then it will exert force again to challenge the upper resistance level. Investors need to closely monitor price fluctuations and reasonably grasp trading opportunities.

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[Ethereum Market Analysis]

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Ethereum's trend shows significant similarity to Bitcoin. Its price first declined to a low of 2,545, then began a slow oscillating upward channel to a high of 2,646 before retreating, currently maintaining a narrow oscillation around 2,590, with overall volatility being extremely limited and a prominent sideways consolidation characteristic, clearly displaying a weak oscillation pattern.

From a technical perspective, Ethereum's price continues to be constrained by the lower Bollinger Band, with the middle band forming a solid resistance level, creating a barrier that is difficult to surpass. Today's market once again entered a downward mode from a high parallel range, fully confirming that the market is still in a deep correction phase. Under the current pattern, if bulls want to break through historical highs, they still need ample time and space to build momentum.

It is worth noting that as the hourly K-line patterns continue to converge, the market may be approaching a critical node for directional choice. However, the current downward trend has not shown obvious continuity, and considering that the price has reached relatively low levels, from an operational strategy perspective, buying on dips remains a relatively prudent choice. Investors can closely monitor buying opportunities during price pullbacks to seize potential upward trends.

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If you are feeling lost—unable to understand technology, unsure how to read the market, not knowing when to enter, unable to set stop losses, not understanding take profits, randomly increasing positions, getting stuck while trying to catch the bottom, unable to hold onto profits, missing market opportunities… these are common issues for retail investors. But don't worry, I can help you establish the correct trading mindset. A single profitable trade speaks louder than a thousand words; finding the right direction is better than repeated failures. Instead of frequent operations, it is better to strike accurately, making each trade more valuable. If you need real-time guidance, you can scan the QR code at the bottom of the article to follow my public account. The market changes rapidly, and due to the timeliness of reviews, subsequent trends will be based on real-time layouts. I look forward to moving steadily forward in the market with you.

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