Tonight's CPI data is better than expected.

CN
Phyrex
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7 hours ago

Tonight's CPI data is slightly better than expected, with the annual rate of the broad CPI actually decreasing a bit. I think there is some distortion here, as the monthly rate of CPI has risen significantly due to tariff issues, and the core CPI data is similar; there isn't much to say about it.

I have emphasized multiple times that the current inflation data does not include the full tariffs, only a small portion of the Chinese tariffs is included. The tariff data released in June is the same; for the Federal Reserve, these are not key factors. The key issue is the inflation data after the implementation of tariffs.

Additionally, income data needs to be closely monitored. Income has clearly decreased, dropping from 0.6% last month to -0.1% this month. This is not a good signal, indicating that the pressure of living expenses is starting to increase, while consumption is still rising.

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