The essence of trading is survival, and only then comes profit. Therefore, before each operation, think carefully about whether your actions are reasonable and whether your capital is safe. You need to develop a trading mindset that belongs to you, continuously optimizing and improving it. Although the advice from the crypto circle academicians may not make you rich overnight, it can ensure your continued presence in the market. Only those who survive in the crypto space for the long term and persist until the end can achieve the results they desire. I hope you understand this.

I am a warrior in the crypto circle, always protecting the retail investors. I wish my followers financial freedom by 2025. Let's work hard together!

Crypto Circle Academician: May 12, 2025 Bitcoin (BTC) Latest Market Analysis

The current price of Bitcoin is 104,500. It is now 4 AM Beijing time, and it’s another May 12. Four years have passed since the global black swan event in 2021. For us veterans in the crypto space, it feels like a lifetime ago; everything seems to have happened yesterday. My trading system also began to take shape around that time, reminding everyone that the essence of trading is survival. Always consider losses first before thinking about profits. Only in this way can we survive longer in the crypto space.

Looking at the current market, the daily K-line has a high of 104,950 and a low of 103,300, indicating a high-level consolidation with accumulation at the top. The EMA trend indicator is stretching upwards, continuing the bullish trend. The fast and slow lines are widening, and the EMA15 trend fast line support is expected to continue stretching towards the 100,000 mark. The daily K-line will have a pullback this week, which is our best entry point for long positions. Until it reaches that point, we can consider shorting at high levels. The MACD has been decreasing in volume, but the bulls are still accumulating. The DIF and DEA are slowing down in high-level diffusion, and the K-line is alternating and expanding around the upper Bollinger Band at 104,250. The larger timeframe is still at the edge of extreme overbought, indicating a demand for a pullback.

The four-hour K-line is currently in a rising flag pattern, with a clear box structure. The EMA15 trend fast line support has come to 103,250. A pullback to this position can be a short-term long opportunity, but the stop loss should not be too far; if it breaks, exit the position. The MACD is continuously decreasing in volume, with a top divergence continuing. The DIF and DEA are expanding downwards at high levels, and the Bollinger Band is contracting. The upper pressure level to watch is the upper band at 105,150, with mid-level support at 103,250. As long as the lower band does not break 101,000, the bullish trend remains. Conservative traders can wait for the K-line to test the lower band before entering long.

Short-term strategy reference: The market is never 100% certain, so always set stop losses; safety first. The goal is to minimize losses while maximizing gains. Especially when breaking key resistance and support levels, stop losses should be executed without hesitation.

For a northern trial position, the entry point is 101,300 to 101,000, with a stop loss at 100,500, risking 500 points, targeting 102,000 to 103,000, and if broken, looking at 104,000.

For a southern trial position, the entry point is 104,500 to 105,000, with a stop loss at 105,300, risking 500 points, targeting 104,000 to 103,500, and if broken, looking at 103,000.

Specific operations should be based on real-time market data. For more information, you can consult the author. There may be delays in article publication; the suggestions are for reference only, and risks are borne by the reader.

This article is exclusively contributed by the Crypto Circle Academician and represents the unique views of the Academician. In-depth research has been conducted on BTC, ETH, DOGE, DOT, FIL, EOS, etc. Due to the timing of the article's release, the above views and suggestions may not be real-time and are for reference only. Risks are borne by the reader. Please indicate the source when reprinting. Manage your positions reasonably and avoid heavy or full positions. The Academician also hopes that all investors understand that the market is always right. If you are wrong, you should reflect on where the problem lies. Do not let the profits that should be yours slip away. There is no need to be smarter than the market; when a trend comes, respond to it; when there is no trend, observe and remain calm. It is not too late to act once the trend becomes clear. Tomorrow's success stems from today's choices. Heaven rewards diligence, the earth rewards kindness, humanity rewards sincerity, business rewards trust, industry rewards excellence, and art rewards passion. Gains and losses often occur unexpectedly. Develop the habit of strictly setting stop losses and take profits for each trade. The Crypto Circle Academician wishes you happy investing!

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