The analysis of the Taiwan Strait situation is as follows:

1/ Taiwan declares independence, led by the United States, with the aim of provoking the mainland to fire first. After that, the U.S. military will not intervene, and Japan, South Korea, and the Philippines will also be unable to intervene, but the U.S. will unite with other countries to impose sanctions.

2/ To counter the above sanctions, the best strategy for the mainland is to encircle without attacking, conduct decapitation strikes, engage in propaganda, and promote internal collapse and surrender in Taiwan. Occupy the legal high ground in international law and try to avoid isolation.

3/ From a military perspective, Japan, South Korea, and the Philippines are unlikely to participate, while India may potentially "block the Malacca Strait" under national sentiment, ambition, and U.S. enticement. This is a scenario that Indians have fantasized about for many years.

4/ This situation may evolve into a second "Self-Defense Counterattack War against India," but at sea. The outcome would be the sinking of an Indian aircraft carrier, with Chinese warships advancing on Mumbai and Bangalore, ports being destroyed, and India being forced to submit.

5/ India's great power dream is interrupted once again, and Indians endure humiliation and survive for another 20 years. 😂

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