The first step of evolution: separation.

The biggest separation is the split between China and the United States. For the past 20 years, the relationship between China and the U.S. seemed inseparable, so now we are in the painful period of their separation.

The split between Europe and Russia has already been completed, thoroughly and completely.

Now it is the separation of the U.S. and Europe, which is mainly from a military perspective. In terms of trade, Europe will also become more autonomous in the future.

The second step is unification:

What will Japan and South Korea do in the future? If they follow the U.S., China is right in front of them, posing significant geopolitical risks. Moreover, it would be difficult for Japan and South Korea to undergo a painful separation from China. Therefore, perhaps Japan and South Korea will maintain a relatively independent stance, not offending either side. However, everyone on Earth knows that choosing sides should be done early, so the rational approach is to join the circle of Chinese civilization sooner rather than later, to secure a position of prominence.

Similarly, there is Russia. Currently, apart from a few inconspicuous allies, Russia is somewhat weak. As an independent pole, Russia does not face major short-term issues, but over time, it will inevitably be consumed by others. It can either integrate into the European system or the Chinese system, and it would be better to join early to secure a position as a deputy leader.

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