Accidentally fell asleep, but fortunately, there weren't any unexpected issues today, and the homework was relatively easy to write. Throughout the day, Bitcoin maintained slight fluctuations, which improved market sentiment significantly. Even many altcoins experienced a long-awaited rise, but it seems that the current participants are much more rational, as there are hardly any voices calling for the altcoin season to arrive. The long-awaited altcoin season now seems a bit distant.

The current calm is waiting for the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting in the early hours of the 20th Beijing time. This meeting is the first time the Federal Reserve will directly address issues of tariffs and recession. What the Federal Reserve says is not important; what matters is what they do. The dot plot shows that the number of rate cuts in 2025 and 2026 almost represents the Federal Reserve's view on inflation and the economy.

Regardless of how the market trends next, when the first quarter ends, it will be time for a major test. Will the first quarter GDP reveal a glimpse of the U.S. economic trading recession?

Looking back at Bitcoin's data, this weekend has been very relaxed, with turnover continuing to decline, finally resembling a weekend. Most investors have little interest in the current market, and panic is gradually decreasing. The few trades are coming from investors who bought the dip in the last two days, while earlier investors are still maintaining a wait-and-see attitude.

A decrease in turnover naturally reduces the pressure to sell. The concentrated chips between $93,000 and $98,000 remain very stable. As long as investors here do not panic sell, the threat to the overall price is very low.

Data has been updated, address: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1E9awSVwrVOxKOiaMdYT5YZvfveeFd9ENU-iO6dVcGj0/edit?usp=sharing

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