"If a Bull Market, What Coins to Buy to Earn More?"
—— Three Key Points: Barbell, Long Hold, Leading Coins
"The better the prediction, the greater the risk."
I once "escaped the peak" at the end of April, holding 80% in cash. When the price dropped from nearly 70,000 to 49,000, I felt a moment of satisfaction, but the only takeaway was the lesson above and the potential for staggering losses.
I also wrote a line: knowing "what to do" made me a lot of money; but not understanding "what not to do" caused me significant losses.
If you don't understand the above, that's fine, just ignore it, and let's talk directly about positions and logic.
1. Let's Talk Trends First
Let me state my viewpoint: my judgment is that the bull market has just begun.
First of all, I don't care whether BTC will drop to 50,000 or 60,000 before a big rise. My current strategy is to be fully invested, riding this trend, so don't interpret my statement that the bull market has just begun as me predicting it will keep rising indefinitely—those who keep making predictions won't earn much.
I don't know if BTC can reach 200,000 or 300,000; just knowing it has just begun is enough—there's no need to refute or criticize me, nor to argue. I've put millions of dollars on the line for this judgment.
People have inertia; seasoned investors have made a lot of money in the four-year cycle, so they can bravely buy the dip at over 20,000 and start selling as it approaches 100,000. This is reasonable.
But this is precisely the main reason I believe the bull market has just begun. This time, it is no longer determined by seasoned investors but by micro-strategies, Microsoft, Mara, the U.S. National Reserve, the Russian National Reserve, and the pensions of various countries.
2. Now Let's Talk Strategy
Making money from trends is like riding an ascending elevator, but trying to profit from volatility is like swimming in the deep sea, jumping high on steep slopes—it's difficult.
Therefore, I think in terms of coin-based strategies, only considering whether all my operations can be exchanged for more BTC rather than how much fiat currency I can get. In this case, I will only switch positions or reduce my holdings back to Bitcoin, but I won't sell coins for USDT or exchange them for fiat.
So, my logic is very simple:
Large positions in BTC + small positions in high risk.
Everything in between is abandoned, like the 6 billion MOVE or ME, let others play with that; I don't have that capability.
Coins like PEPE and DOGE are top meme coins, but for me, their odds are average, so I also gave them up. They should be able to rise more than BTC, but it's fine if I earn a little less; holding BTC is good enough.
I choose small positions in high risk mainly for high odds.
3. Now Let's Talk About Small Positions in High Risk
Here, there is actually a first step, which is to exchange a portion of my BTC position for ETH, SOL, and BNB. These are the chips to play with on-chain coins; I must have these three.
Which ones to choose? Let me share my recent thoughts—note that the market changes at any time, and I will change too, but I may not update position changes immediately; all views only apply to the present.
First, I will definitely choose memes. Which ones?
My key point is to select leading coins in good sectors. Early PVP meme coins can make money, but the larger probability is to lose money. Choosing the leading coins that have emerged may seem to earn less, but in reality, they earn more. For example, after Pnut was listed on Binance, it had a market cap of several hundred million dollars, and when Musk tweeted, it surged, making 2.5 million dollars in a few days, much simpler than PVP.
What are good sectors? Cats, dogs, frogs, and cults are not cheap, but the key is to think clearly about one point: why can I make money by heavily investing here? Is it because the cost is low? Or is the upper limit very high? I don't have a particularly good feeling about it.
"I don't need to understand everything; I just need to make money where I do understand."
- AI Meme
The sector I am most optimistic about is AI memes. This is a global trend that is unstoppable, and interestingly, AI memes are very different from other memes.
The trigger is $GOAT, backed by a16z and Wintermute, which has been listed on Binance contracts and has seen significant price corrections.
$GOAT is pure meme, created by @truth_terminal and another AI, and it has started to become a top trend on Twitter.
After $GOAT, the AI meme sector emerged. A virtual platform that had been built for a year without attention began to release AI agents with various functions, such as investment experts like @aixbt_agent, etc. You can think of these agents as different individuals in the AI field; some do live broadcasts, some tell jokes, and some do investment analysis—very diverse.
What can be foreseen and confirmed is that countless agents will emerge next, all of which are AI, but not all are memes. Unlike traditional projects in the crypto space, they will have different functions, such as the following that you might use:
For example, an AI that helps you invest in meme trading; you just need to tell it how to trade, and it will help you 24/7, likely performing better than most people.
For example, helping you tweet, analyze various projects—do not underestimate AI now; they have generally surpassed human PhD levels.
Thus, there will be some coins, such as: $VIRTUAL
It is a platform for agents, and various scenarios will require consuming VIRTUAL, leading to a continuous increase in token prices; this is practical.
There are also similar platforms like $ai16z, $vvaifu, $ZEREBRO, etc.
However, you will soon discover a problem: if you want to trade agents, you might feel confused: new ones come out every day, each with different functions, and there will always be a better next one. So how to buy?
Here, the conclusion is drawn: buying platform coins is more stable than trading agents, such as buying VIRTUAL—although it is no longer cheap, if agents explode, it will be an important target. It previously reached 2, dropped to 1.3 yesterday, and is now at 1.6.
At this point, you should suddenly realize something: $GOAT is like BTC, while $VIRTUAL is like ETH.
$GOAT has no particular practicality, nor does it need to; it is simply the first coin to ignite the AI meme sector and has undergone a long washout. The co-founder of a16z continues to promote it in various settings, and Wintermute's main market-making project is sufficient.
On the other hand, $VIRTUAL is like a public chain, where countless projects will emerge. Other coins like $ai16z are also like other public chains, with numerous different projects.
So, my choice is to buy $GOAT and $VIRTUAL. As for the buying price, they will follow the market, and I will buy in batches slowly, holding for a few months, waiting for OpenAI to lead the AI agents.
Additionally, is $GOAT a leader? It is listed on Binance as ACT, but I think it should be an objective fact, not determined by whether it is listed on Binance.
Recently, Binance launched MOVE; although the mainnet is not available, it does not affect its rise to a 15 billion FDV. I believe these are important factors that will help memes become popular again—ultimately, those who hold on will return to memes.
In the AI meme sector, I also hold a smaller market cap coin, only over 30 million dollars, called REALIS.
Background: "Artificial intelligence deserves its own world. Life and death are within it."
White Paper: Realis White Paper
It aims to allow all artificial intelligences to truly live within it and observe their similar interactions and behaviors. I find this very interesting, so I included it in my considerations. Of course, its risk lies in how the world will land, etc.; everyone can judge for themselves.
Of course, I also bought 600,000 $AIXBT to facilitate my use of its terminal.
I also bought $GAME on VIRTUAL, an interactive framework for agents, which currently has no utility but should have its place in the future.
- Other Memes
The religious mascot leader $LUCE is strong, with high odds. For Binance, it should attract a lot of new users after being listed, considering there are 1.7 billion Catholics worldwide—others cannot lead this trend, but Binance will definitely attract a lot of attention.
I randomly held a bit of $KOMA on the BSC chain; I don't understand it and don't hold much.
4. Finally
There will also be some value coins and the like, which change quickly, so I won't write them all out.
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