U.S. Presidential Elections and Financial Markets
Every four years, the U.S. presidential elections not only attract domestic attention but also influence global financial markets. The uncertainty brought by the elections makes the market "heartbeat accelerate."
Why do elections affect the market?
Uncertainty: Investors find it difficult to predict the impact of new policies on industries and the economy, leading to market volatility.
Historical Performance: Markets typically experience significant fluctuations during election years, but overall performance is often good, especially after the election results are clear.
Key factors affecting the market during elections:
Policy Changes: Changes in tax policies, regulations, and trade agreements affect corporate profits and industry outlooks.
Trade and Foreign Policy: The U.S. trade stance impacts global supply chains and export businesses.
Economic Stimulus and Spending: Government spending plans boost certain industries but may raise concerns about debt and inflation.
Industry Reactions: Different industries respond variably to policies, such as clean energy initiatives boosting new energy sectors while traditional energy faces setbacks.
Current points to note:
BTC has temporarily broken through 73,000, just shy of a new high! However, the rise of $MSTR (MicroStrategy stock) seems a bit weak. At 4 AM Beijing time on the 31st, which is after the U.S. stock market closes on the 30th, the earnings reports for MSTR and $COIN (Coinbase stock) will be released.
Especially for those trading short-term, be cautious to prevent a "Sell The News" scenario or overly high expectations after the earnings report, as these could lead to a pullback in BTC prices!
BTC
Yesterday's pullback did not provide an opportunity, directly reaching 71200-72000. After forming a consolidation on M15, it did not break below 70800 and is now taking off to challenge new highs! A new high is just a matter of time! The liquidity above is also likely to be seized! Currently waiting for a pullback to focus on buying opportunities in the daily demand zone of 67500-65300! On the H1 level, pay attention to buying opportunities in the range of 71300-70800! Targeting previous high points and above!
ETH
Looking for trading opportunities on M15, pay attention to buying opportunities around 2608, with a stop loss if it breaks down! Waiting for buying opportunities in the range of 2570-2560 below, with a stop loss if it breaks down! Looking above at 2660-2680, and if it breaks through, targeting 2730-2770!
SOL
Short-term oscillation between 173-175 below and 181-184 above! Engage in high selling and low buying around these two ranges! If it breaks 184, look up towards 194! If it breaks 173, look down towards 168-166!
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