Tonight at 2 am, the Federal Reserve will announce the interest rate decision, which is crucial for friends who are long on US stocks or gold, and undoubtedly a major event in the global financial sector, determining the direction of economic development. Whether the interest rate will be cut is worth everyone's attention. Currently, the probability of a rate cut is relatively high, but no one can say for sure until the announcement. However, once the rate cut begins, US stocks will face a huge challenge because the interest on money in banks will decrease, causing the money to flow into the real economy. This will lead to a brief exodus of investors in the financial markets, causing a global stock market crash. Recently, gold has already reflected the expectation of a rate cut, but it is not certain that gold will continue to rise. When expectations are met, bullish news becomes bearish, so it is advisable to trade cautiously tonight.
Returning to the market situation, currently, based on the daily technical indicators, the KDJ technical indicator has strengthened in terms of the decline compared to during the day, the BOLL technical indicator continues to weaken, and the decline in the MA5 daily average line is significantly enhanced. Therefore, the trading strategy for the early morning remains unchanged, and it is still recommended to focus on shorting on rebounds.
In the 4-hour technical indicators, the KDJ technical indicator is still in a continuous weakening phase, the MACD technical indicator has shown a slight bearish crossover, and the various short-term MA lines are arranged in different degrees of decline. At the same time, the closing price at 8 pm is still running below the MA5 daily average line. Therefore, it is still recommended to focus on shorting on rebounds early this morning.
The above is a personal analysis and summary of the market in the early morning. I hope everyone will pay more attention and leave comments.
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