It seems that the vast majority of people are underestimating the pace of AI development which at this point is considerably compounding

It will not take 5-15 years for society to be extremely reoriented - In the next 2 years there should already be an overwhelming wave of impact. Technological disruption of jobs, economies, society that will be felt at an unprecedented pace

Many cite short term hype and the trough of disillusionment, seemingly unaware that AI research and neural nets have been in research since the 1950s

We've already had decades where nothing happens, we are now in the period where decades happen

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