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Master Chen 4.20: Short-term Volatility and Medium to Long-term Expectations After Halving

CN
师爷陈
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2 years ago
AI summarizes in 5 seconds.

BTC 1-hour:

The market experienced another failed test at 65,000 yesterday and is currently undergoing a certain adjustment with a slight rebound. Despite today's halving, Bitcoin's volatility remains small and is not expected to immediately affect the market trend. However, from a medium to long-term perspective, it is expected that Bitcoin will continue to rise steadily.

Although there is positive news from the halving, Bitcoin remains cautious due to weakened expectations of interest rate cuts and instability in the Middle East. However, the overall trend is still upward in the medium to long term, with increased volatility expected in the short term.

The first resistance level for the day is around 63,800, with the second resistance level at 64,270. Since the first resistance level is close to the previous high on the 4-hour chart, a short-term rebound can be expected if the price breaks through the first resistance level. As the market continues to retest the upper resistance, today's focus should be on 63,800, which is also an important resistance level.

The first support level for the day is around 63,450, with the second support level at 63,000. If the market falls below the first support level, it will open up a bearish trend towards 63,000, with the 60MA and 120MA moving averages on the 1-hour chart acting as support.

As today is the weekend, it is expected that the market will remain range-bound, and traders can focus on short-term trading strategies within the range. As the current price is moving within an ascending channel, as long as it does not fall below the bottom of the channel, the view of a rebound will be maintained.

4.20 Shiyechen's Short-term Pre-buried Orders:

BTC:

Long position first entry reference: 36,450, second entry reference 63,000, target 63,800-64,200

Short position first entry reference: 63,800, second entry reference 64,270, target 63,450-63,000

This content is exclusively planned and published by Shiyechen (WeChat public account: Coin God Shiyechen). If you need to learn more about real-time investment strategies, untangling, spot contract trading techniques, operational skills, and candlestick knowledge, you can add Shiyechen for learning and communication, hoping to help you find what you want in the currency circle. Focusing on BTC, ETH, and altcoin spot contracts for many years, there is no 100% method, only 100% trend-following; daily updates on macro analysis articles across the web, technical analysis of mainstream coins and altcoins, and spot mid-to-long-term replay price prediction videos.

Gentle reminder: Only the column public account (as shown in the image above) is written by Shiyechen. The end of the article and other advertisements in the comments section are unrelated to the author. Please discern carefully and thank you for reading.

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Selected Articles by 师爷陈

1 hour ago
Master Chen 4.21: Is 77K the distribution area? The high-level volatility is all a trap.
1 day ago
Master Chen 4.21: The moment the giant whale wrote the script in advance, I knew something was off.
2 days ago
Assistant Chen 4.20: I am back. The rise is just bait. Has the knife not fallen yet?
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