Daily Sharing
This morning, Bitcoin directly fell below 68,000, indicating that the short-term 4-hour rebound has completed, and a secondary sell-off has occurred. Currently, it is running a 4-hour pullback. I personally believe that this pullback tends to oscillate around the 4-hour level. After the oscillation, there is a high probability of another surge to a new high, followed by a medium-term pullback.
For current spot positions, there is no need to be overly nervous, except for those that have surged 5-10 times in the short term and have been in a long period of oscillation and pullback. There is still a high probability of further surges. Therefore, the choice of coins to hold is still crucial. Overall, it is not yet the time to escape from long-term positions, as the cycle has not arrived.
BTC
Due to the rapid changes in the market in the short term, this article can only make predictions based on the market changes at the time of publication. Short-term players should pay attention to the latest market changes and use this information as a reference only.
1H:

At the 1-hour level, the current pullback has not yet completed, and it is expected to possibly retrace to around 63,000. As the third 1-hour pullback does not show divergence, there is an expectation of a fourth 1-hour rebound and a fifth 1-hour pullback. The overall tendency of the 4-hour pullback is to retrace to the 61,000-63,000 range, with a limit around 61,000.
However, attention should be paid to the position at 60,775 in the 4-hour pullback. If this level is broken, it means that the adjustment from 73,777 is a daily level adjustment. In that case, there is a certain probability of retracing to around 55,000. Staying above 60,775 tends to continue oscillating in the 61,000-73,000 range, forming a 4-hour central range. After the oscillation, it is likely to continue to break through 73,777 and reach a new high to extend the daily level uptrend.
Overall, it is necessary to observe the strength of the short-term decline.
15M:

At the 15-minute level, a short-term rebound is expected. If it can stabilize around 64,200, there should be a 15-minute rebound to around 67,000. As there is no divergence in the 15-minute decline, there is an expectation of another 15-minute pullback, with attention to the 64,000-63,000 range at that time.
ETH

Ethereum is currently running the third 1-hour pullback. This pullback is expected to go through another 15-minute rebound and a 15-minute pullback, with attention to around 3,150 below. Subsequently, it still needs to go through the fourth 1-hour rebound and the fifth 1-hour pullback. Overall, Ethereum's pullback may need to retrace to around 3,000 again.
Trend Direction
Weekly Level: Upward, currently continuing the weekly rebound from 15,476. Pay attention to the subsequent daily situation for when it ends.
Daily Level: Upward, adjust the target of the daily uptrend to around 76,000 or 80,000.
4-hour Level: Downward, first pay attention to around 61,000 in the 4-hour pullback.
1-hour Level: Downward, currently running the third 1-hour pullback, which has not yet completed.
15-minute Level: Downward, short-term attention to a 15-minute rebound, with a focus on 67,000, followed by another 15-minute pullback.
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This article is time-sensitive. Pay attention to the risks. The above is only personal advice and is for reference only!
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