Today's Market Analysis Video 3.4_or click to open: _https://weibo.com/7860089005/O3rVVvTMJ
Today's Market Analysis Video 3.4_or click to open: _https://zhuanlan.zhihu.com/p/685175338
Today's Market Analysis Video 3.4_or click to open: _https://www.bilibili.com/read/cv32509946/
(Video recording time: 2024.3.4.12:00.)
☀ BTC Major Trend: Upward;
Minor Trend: Oscillating;
Short-term Trend: Oscillating;
☀ ETH Major Trend: Upward;
Minor Trend: Oscillating;
Short-term Trend: Oscillating;
✿The market has been lively for over a week, with new investors entering the market. The greed index has reached a new high in over two years. New investors lack risk awareness and are only filled with visions of "financial freedom, luxury cars, beautiful women, and villas." Those who have not entered the market are awakened by the strong positive trend and are now very anxious: rushing in directly, but afraid of falling back; not entering, but afraid of missing out. Almost everyone has one thought: this bull market must lead to financial freedom, and making small profits is unforgivable. We will not comment on the right or wrong of this idea first. Can we first ask ourselves: what qualifications and abilities do we have to possess such a huge wealth? Can we first consider a question? Many people have spent over ten or twenty years from kindergarten to master's or doctoral degrees, spending tens of thousands to millions of their parents' money on tuition. Now, some are delivering takeout, and some are working as delivery drivers, living in a state of hardship. So, how much time and tuition have you spent learning the knowledge in this field? What entitles you to achieve financial freedom in this field?
✿Happiness is the structure of a person's strength. There is a model: ①cognition ⟶ ②ability ⟶ ③wealth ⟶ ④desire. The correct order and mindset are the foundation for success. If the order is reversed, a person will be very anxious, and their behavior will be very dangerous. In this field, by learning the correct methods to form your own trading system and strategy, you will have the opportunity to make money in both bull and bear markets. It's not that you must achieve financial freedom in a bull market, but rather a steady stream of income.
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✿Following the trend should not be an excuse for greed. There are opportunities for technical chasing and shorting every day, but investing in chasing highs is dangerous.
✿BTC and ETH holding addresses continue to increase, and the greed index has reached a new high in two years. Are the bargain hunters gradually entering the market? However, Grayscale has been selling for over a month. Is Grayscale being foolish? The outflow from the top ten BTC addresses is greater than the inflow. BTC is currently in a state of sprinting. Who knows what the manipulators behind the scenes are planning? Is the risk slowly approaching? Must it rise as scheduled after the halving on April 21st? If you have no trading skills and have not entered the market, these questions should be taken seriously.
✿Those who are not in the market should not FOMO. As long as the principal is still there, there are plenty of opportunities. Those without trading skills would rather miss out than make mistakes. If you can withstand a floating loss of over 50% and the time is several months or longer (this is possible), and no matter how much it oscillates, you will not cut your losses, then rush in now.
✿Analysis has me, but trading does not. Analysis is subjective and wishful thinking. Trading must follow the trend. Whenever the market presents an opportunity, seize it, regardless of long or short positions. Use the smallest cost to seek the greatest benefit. If you're right, hold on; if you're wrong, run away quickly.
(For details, please see the video.)
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✿ETH: Enter long positions near 2255 and 2890. If profits have not been taken, it is recommended to set a trailing stop at around 3000.
✿BTC: Enter long positions near 38700, 46900, 47800, and 50290. If profits have not been taken, it is recommended to set a trailing stop at around 50000. Enter short positions near BTC 63600 and recommend setting a break-even stop or the previous high for this cycle.
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《Operational Points》published at 2024.3.4.12:00. (_Limit orders are very risky, and stop-loss losses may be significant! Please trade cautiously.)
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BTC Short-term Ambush Operation Suggestions(After the activation of the points, please manage profits and losses at your own discretion):
Short: (Attempt) ❶ Short near 63600, stop loss near 64130, ❷ Short near 65200, stop loss near 66000, target near 59130 or below. (Attempt to short near 68800, stop loss near 69600; pay attention to resistance near 71000 and 74000)
Long: (Attempt) ❶ Long near 59130, stop loss near 58700, ❷ Long near 57500, stop loss near 56700, target near 63600 or above.
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ETH Short-term Ambush Operation Suggestions (After the activation of the points, please manage profits and losses at your own discretion):_
Short: (Attempt) ❶ Short near 3495, stop loss near 3535, ❷ Short near 3600, stop loss near 3655, target near 3193 or below. (Pay attention to resistance near 3830 and 4045)
Long: (Attempt) ❶ Long near 3193, stop loss near 3155, ❷ Long near 3085, stop loss near 3040, target near 3495 or above.
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Special Reminder: Do not trade frequently, and do not make counter-trend limit orders.
The operational points are fixed after publication, but the market changes rapidly like a battlefield. In order to reduce risk, increase the win rate, and profit margin, it is strongly recommended to watch the more scientific methods in the video for a comprehensive approach.
Lao Wang's Quotes
✿Do not hold on to positions, the profits brought back will eventually be returned to the market.
✿Do not guess the top or bottom, the profits gained from guessing will eventually be returned to the market.
✿Do not rely on news, as this is still a form of guessing the top or bottom.
✿Do not use secondary chart indicators to judge trends.
✿Do not easily exit a profitable position, as you may be running at the halfway point.
✿Do not get excited by large candlesticks, as it may be a "performance" for you to see.
✿Do not think that the market you see is the last wave of the market. As long as your principal is still there, there will be opportunities every day.
✿Do not trade frequently, as it will not only make you lose sight of the big picture and increase the chances of making mistakes, but also increase trading costs, which is not worth it.
✿Do not make counter-trend trades. If you're right, hold on firmly; if you're wrong, run away quickly.
✿Do not buy low out of greed, nor sell high out of fear. Do not act recklessly unless the trend has changed.
✿Do not treat trading as your main job, do not stare at the screen, as the time spent staring at the screen is inversely proportional to the profit.
✿Do not easily trust others' opinions, unless you are sure they are worth believing.
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☯The market is guessed by the majority of people. When it accumulates to a certain amount, it will explode in the opposite direction of the majority's guess.
☯Trading is the most difficult skill to master. The more delicate it is, the less risk there is. Impatience and roughness are extremely dangerous.
☯Qualified traders not only grasp the direction of the major trend, but also must have the ability to insightfully observe micro changes, because any major market movement starts from the one-minute cycle and never returns…
☯Rather than envying the fish at the water's edge, it's better to retreat and set up a net.
☯Accumulating wealth of millions is not as good as having a skill.
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