Market analysis and casual chat on 12/27

1 In the market analysis on 12/3, I suggested allocating a certain position to buy AICoin, because it had a higher chance of winning during this period. During this time, the AICoins I bought, such as rats and silly, have increased by more than ten times.

In fact, during this period, I only bought AICoin or chased after popular coins. I prefer to conduct in-depth research and invest in coins that are worth holding for a certain period of time or possibly long-term. However, during this period, AICoin had the highest winning rate.

2 Market analysis and operational suggestions

1) The market is relatively uncertain because of the game between long and short forces. On one hand, there is sideline capital that will buy in if there is a decline. On the other hand, many people are holding positions and waiting for the positive impact of the ETF on January 10th. Thirdly, the market has already risen a lot, and there are a lot of profits. Therefore, multiple factors may lead to the market mainly oscillating widely.

2) It is advisable to be cautious about buying at this point for long-term holding, unless the position is still very low. The main reason is that most of the altcoins have already seen significant increases. In addition, there is a risk of adjustment for BTC, which could easily lead to being trapped at a high position. However, many altcoins may still rise, so a feasible strategy is to buy in batches, and buy a portion of the position now.

3) Due to the anchoring effect, the price ceiling of the coin has been opened. The market is also in a FOMO period, with capital flowing in. Actively embrace hotspots, where the increase is fast and significant. Of course, be mindful of the risks, as it is easy to suffer heavy losses. It is recommended to use a mini position and engage in high-stakes games.

3 Suddenly realized that what I share the most is the operational strategy for a period of time. Starting from October, different operational strategies can be implemented based on different market conditions. This is based on capital, market sentiment, and the combination of behavioral economics. In fact, the first level is to not be controlled by irrational behavior, and the deeper level is to make money by using the irrational behavior of people in the market. This topic is extensive and deserves a dedicated article when there is time.

After a period of time, the individual profit effect of AICoin and hotspots will decrease. Here, I am referring to the individual profit effect. In other words, the market will still frequently see projects that surge by ten or even dozens of times in a day, but the individual profit effect will start to decrease (of course, it is still possible to make a lot of money).

Therefore, it is important to be aware of the circle of information dissemination one is in, and to assess the quality and circulating market value of the project itself.

bitcoin

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