Something I've been telling premium members lately is that there's a significantly greater risk in staying sidelined than moderately & steadily increasing your exposure to risk assets

CN
2 years ago

Something I've been telling premium members lately is that there's a significantly greater risk in staying sidelined than moderately & steadily increasing your exposure to risk assets.

Example: Everyone thought $GOOGL was risky at the beginning of 2023.

I was buying.

Now I'm up +45% on those shares.

It would require a -30% loss to wipe out my gains, which is entirely possible but not necessarily plausible. Forward probabilities are now extremely favorable because I've completely mitigated sequence of returns risk.

My only regret is that I didn't buy more, but I'm grateful that. I stuck with the process that I outlined for myself going into 2024:

Regardless of what was going to happen with macro, I was going to buy equities all year.

Why? Because the risk of not buying is far too great.


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