The US dollar has broken this year's high according to our thinking, and its current position is quite clever, located at the suppression point in the middle of the large double bottom. The resistance zone above is seen at the 107.2 level. With the hawkish attitude of the Federal Reserve and the possibility of interest rate hikes this year, there should be no problem for the large double bottom to continue its one-way trend.

The price of the "big cake" (possibly referring to a specific asset or market) has been falling but has not broken through, mainly because the market is waiting for a signal. The release of the US core PCE data this Friday may set the tone for the market direction. Similarly, as a risky asset, spot gold broke through the strong-weak boundary line at 1920 last night and quickly fell back, which is in line with our expectations from yesterday. Points A and B have been handled according to our thinking, but point C has yet to move, and we still need to wait. Upon reflection, there are two factors that could support the "big cake" at the moment. One is the increase in the US fiscal deficit, with the government facing a shutdown, leading to a diversion of market funds. The other is the deliberate control of the main funds. Looking at the 24-hour fund outflow situation, the net inflow is mostly from the main funds. Is this going against the trend or a trap?

In the view of Lao Hu (possibly a person's name), the current market, whether from a fundamental or technical perspective, indicates that the "big cake" will definitely experience a downturn. The repeated weak rebounds show no strength. Let's wait. If the "big cake" breaks through and stabilizes above 26450 in an upward trend against the trend within the day, then the path can be broken, with a small loss to exchange for a larger space. Trading and investment have always been like this, taking small risks for big profits! Image 1 Image 2

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