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缠论解盘5.23:BTC波动变小,即将面临方向选择!

CN
一生一心缠论说
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2 years ago
AI summarizes in 5 seconds.

BTC自5月15日开始至今一直在27500-26500之间震荡,当下已经震荡超过一个星期。震荡的过程就是多空双方对价格出现分歧激烈博弈的过程,而从传统技术形态上看也到了三角整理的末端,最终会有一方暂时战胜一另方去选择方向。在缠论技术分析理论来讲当下就是处于典型的中阴阶段。


中阴阶段最大的特点是没有方向,没有方向那么交易的难度会增大。这种情况之下只有两种比较好的方法来应对:


一、离场观望

先离场,等待方向明确之后再根据走势力度强弱顺势而为。


二、灵活的仓位管理

这里所指的仓位管理是指大饼现货,不包含山寨和合约交易。

仓位管理的重要性我想大家都知道,在一段行情方向未明的情况下,我们只有灵活运用仓位管理来应对未来复杂的走势,保持一定比例现货仓位向上突破不会踏空,向下延伸有足够的仓位来平衡应对。只有这样才能在复杂多变的走势中立于不败之地。



回到行情当下,从4小时图上看,明显黄色箭头的三角整理已经处于末端,意味着多空双方即将有一方会战胜另一方去突破。这里有两个重要观察点:27666和25811。无论向上还是向下突破这两个点最重要是观察突破后的能量变化,如果放量突破则可顺势而为,如果是假突破则有诱多或者诱空嫌疑。有一点本号认为不管行情如何走,25811还是会被向下突破概率大。



再看30分钟图,当下就是30分钟中枢震荡,在没有出现三类买卖点之前都将会一直震荡下去,三类买卖点的出现是多空双方之间一方战胜另一方后的再一次回抽确认。



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