The Sixteenth Issue of "Jiang Feng Trading Diary"
Review of the Fifteenth Issue: Early yesterday morning, BTC fell from a high of around 65000 to a short-term support level of 62660, and began to gradually rebound. Currently, it is testing around 64000 repeatedly, facing significant resistance. Therefore, there is no change in today's view: continue to focus on short positions!
The entire network had a liquidation of 399 million USD in the last 24 hours. I believe there won't be any fans of Jiang Feng among them, as Jiang Feng has been focused on short positions all the way down from the peak high of 66900 in the tenth issue, and from near the secondary peak of 65700 in the fourteenth issue, which are basically the highest points, so there is no possibility of loss or liquidation!
In the fifteenth issue yesterday, a short was placed at 64300, with the highest rebound hitting 64175, which did not provide an entry opportunity. For Ethereum, short positions were taken between 1920 and 1940, with the highest rebound hitting 1928. Currently, there is a small profit! Continue to hold!
First, today's strategy: focus on short positions primarily, with an upcoming interest rate meeting, be cautious! Risk index 🌟🌟🌟🌟☆
📌Ethereum: Short position near (1935-1940), add shorts from 1970-1990, final defense line around 2040-2075.
🏁Target 1850-1800
🏁Target 1750-1690
⚠️: Continue to hold the short near 1920 from yesterday!
📌Bitcoin: Short position near 64500, add shorts from 65300-65800, final defense line around 67000-68000.
🏁Target 62500-61300
🏁Target 60500-59000
⚠️: This strategy will be greatly influenced by the meeting, with a large span for entry (to prevent stop-loss spikes) so it is essential to participate with light positions!
💥Key focus: Recent factors influencing market trends
The Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting on the 30th at 2:30 AM needs close attention; any dovish/hawkish stance will impact subsequent price movements. This is also the largest market divergence since September 2024—according to the latest data from CME FedWatch: the probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged is about 67.9%, and the probability of an unexpected rate hike of 25 basis points is still 32.1%,
The probability of a 25 basis point rate hike in September is 56.1%, and the probability of a 50 basis point rate hike is 21.5%! Caution should be exercised regarding any signals released during the meeting!
The Sixteenth Issue of "Jiang Feng Trading Diary"
Review of the Fifteenth Issue: Early yesterday morning, BTC fell from a high of around 65000 to a short-term support level of 62660, and began to gradually rebound. Currently, it is testing around 64000 repeatedly, facing significant resistance. Therefore, there is no change in today's view: continue to focus on short positions!
The entire network had a liquidation of 399 million USD in the last 24 hours. I believe there won't be any fans of Jiang Feng among them, as Jiang Feng has been focused on short positions all the way down from the peak high of 66900 in the tenth issue, and from near the secondary peak of 65700 in the fourteenth issue, which are basically the highest points, so there is no possibility of loss or liquidation!
In the fifteenth issue yesterday, a short was placed at 64300, with the highest rebound hitting 64175, which did not provide an entry opportunity. For Ethereum, short positions were taken between 1920 and 1940, with the highest rebound hitting 1928. Currently, there is a small profit! Continue to hold!
First, today's strategy: focus on short positions primarily, with an upcoming interest rate meeting, be cautious! Risk index 🌟🌟🌟🌟☆
📌Ethereum: Short position near (1935-1940), add shorts from 1970-1990, final defense line around 2040-2075.
🏁Target 1850-1800
🏁Target 1750-1690
⚠️: Continue to hold the short near 1920 from yesterday!
📌Bitcoin: Short position near 64500, add shorts from 65300-65800, final defense line around 67000-68000.
🏁Target 62500-61300
🏁Target 60500-59000
⚠️: This strategy will be greatly influenced by the meeting, with a large span for entry (to prevent stop-loss spikes) so it is essential to participate with light positions!
💥Key focus: Recent factors influencing market trends
The Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting on the 30th at 2:30 AM needs close attention; any dovish/hawkish stance will impact subsequent price movements. This is also the largest market divergence since September 2024—according to the latest data from CME FedWatch: the probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged is about 67.9%, and the probability of an unexpected rate hike of 25 basis points is still 32.1%, the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike in September is 56.1%, and the probability of a 50 basis point rate hike is 21.5%! Caution should be exercised regarding any signals released during the meeting!
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