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CME: Energy and interest rate fluctuations exacerbate global monetary policy uncertainty.

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PANews
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1 hour ago
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PANews April 29 news, according to CME Group, recent crude oil, US treasury bonds, US dollar, and gold assets have experienced severe synchronized fluctuations, forming a typical cross-asset “contagion” pattern. The CME CVOL index shows that the implied volatility of crude oil and US treasury bonds over 30 days has surged significantly, with the convexity of US treasury bonds (convexity) continuing to rise since the end of 2025, peaking in mid-March, reflecting that the market remains highly uncertain regarding both the resurgence of inflation and economic weakening. Rising energy prices are pushing up fuel, transportation, and fertilizer costs, making it more challenging for the Federal Reserve to balance between fighting inflation and slowing down the economy. Meanwhile, despite the tense situation in the Middle East, gold prices have actually dropped by about 14% from late February to late March, but the increase in volatility and demand for put options indicates that traditional safe-haven assets are also under pressure.

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