After waiting all night, I finally reached the profit-taking position. In the morning, Bitcoin touched a new daytime high of 75425, and is currently in a correction phase, with the current price at 74555. The new low yesterday also hit 73514, and the sell and buy pressure above and below are very obvious, with selling at 75000 and buying around 73500. The overall trading volume is basically guaranteed, and recent active data is quite good. After reviewing this data, Lao Cui believed that this stage should be a growth phase, but it is clear that problems have arisen during the growth segment. Let's discuss the contract position with an emphasis on short-term trends. The core remains spot trading; users who want to buy spot may not have many opportunities. Today, Iran made another statement, saying that subsequent crude oil products will no longer be exported. The core issue is that crude oil facilities have been destroyed, which suggests that subsequent crude oil prices will be dominated by the Americans. As long as the military situation does not expand, there is a high probability that the financial market will return to normal.

According to Lao Cui's logic regarding military conflicts, he always feels that it will be difficult to reach an agreement later. However, the performance of U.S. stocks makes Lao Cui anxious; not only the Nasdaq index but also the S&P 500 is showing new short-term highs. Often, capital's instincts are sharper than ordinary investors, and their choices seem to indicate the military outcomes in the future. In feedback to the financial markets, only the growth of technology stocks is concerning; all market growth can be attributed to the conflicts on the military level, including energy growth and the rush in trading markets. As for technology growth, there are only two factors: one is economic recovery driving future demand, and the other is key breakthroughs in technology. Currently, technology growth is not influenced by either of these factors, making it very difficult for us to define it. It is especially noted that the cryptocurrency industry also falls within technology stocks, and the influx of funds into the cryptocurrency-related industry is particularly obvious.

Lao Cui summarizes: The long position given yesterday at the current price of 74500 has already taken profit, and today Lao Cui still looks bullish with a profit position of 500-1000 points. All bullish predictions are based on the absence of larger military conflicts, coupled with the impact of tariffs, where neither can have any interfering factors, which is also why Lao Cui says that the uncertainty factors are too high. From the perspective of capital volume, a large amount of funds flowed into the U.S. spot BTC ETF market yesterday, with a net inflow as high as 186 million dollars, of which the main inflow was 1BIT, with a single-day net inflow of 292 million dollars; it seems that both giants and platforms hope that the market will return to a bullish trend, but Lao Cui also reminds everyone that the closer you are to the 80,000 point level, the greater the risk. You need to control your positions. The net inflow of listed companies in a single week has surged to 824 million, and the possibility of maintaining a short-term surge is increasing. The 76,000 level cannot stop this Bitcoin this time; those who are short should wait a little. At the end of the article, if you don't understand, feel free to ask Lao Cui.

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