How to face the impact brought by AI?

CN
17 hours ago

In the comments at the end of yesterday's article, a reader mentioned two articles that have recently been hot topics online: "The 2028 Global Intelligent Crisis" and "The 2028 Global Intelligence Boom."

I skimmed through these two articles when they first came out, but my feelings after reading them were not as intense as many readers reported online. There may be two reasons for this:

First, a blogger from a private technology course I often listen to had believed several years ago that the world might soon face a super financial crisis.

He thought the most likely timing for the crisis to break out is in 2029, with 2028 as the second most likely year. He believes that the primary trigger for this crisis will be artificial intelligence, followed by encryption technology/encrypted assets.

Second, the various self-media articles I usually read often touch on similar topics, such as how artificial intelligence will disrupt our lives, how it will break our current pace of life, and so on.

Perhaps because I have seen and heard so many analyses of this type, I did not have a strong reaction when I read similar articles again.

I agree with the fundamental cause mentioned in these two articles—the development of AI will make "intelligence" abundant and cheaper than ever; however, I cannot comment on the subsequent “plots” and conclusions derived from this in the articles. This is because my judgment on the development of AI often changes, and perhaps tomorrow I will deny today's views.

The development of AI is advancing too rapidly, and the frequency of articles like this will only increase.

Such articles can easily evoke feelings of oppression and anxiety, which I also experienced in the past. But now, I prefer to think ahead: aside from oppression and anxiety, what remains unchanged in the development process of AI? What will be increasingly reinforced? How should we ordinary people face these changes, especially in light of these shocks?

- What remains unchanged?

The development of AI is limitless in virtual space, having potential we can hardly imagine now, but on the other hand, in terms of physical aspects, it is greatly limited: it is constrained by hardware conditions, physical space, and energy limitations.

So at least for the next four or five years, hardware conditions, physical space, and energy limitations will be the bottlenecks for AI development. This is also what I am increasingly focusing on.

- What will be increasingly reinforced?

The trend I can observe is that the wealth gap will become increasingly pronounced.

Of course, in the age of AI, "poverty" may not necessarily mean a lack of clothing and food, but rather a lack of accessible, value-generating resources and assets.

The future society is likely to support a large group of lifelong aimless individuals, akin to a "zombie" group, whose basic survival can be ensured by the state, but beyond that, they will be completely unable to enjoy the new "services" and "products" emerging in society, and can hardly imagine the lives of those in other social strata.

- So how can we ordinary people try to face these changes and shocks?

From my perspective, I believe two points are more suitable for me:

First, manage my cash flow as best as I can. I used to emphasize in my articles that we should prepare 18 months' worth of living expenses to ensure a buffer if we lose our jobs. Looking at it now, the time should ideally be even longer.

Second, once I have spare money, I will try to invest it all without affecting my living situation. Invest in the assets and resources of the AI era.

The mastery of assets and resources is an insurmountable gulf between different social strata in any era, but in the future AI era, the depth and breadth of this gulf will likely be unimaginable.

Additionally, I am talking about investing, not speculating.

Investment focuses on the long term, considering its potential status three to five years later. Only buy what you can understand, only buy what you don’t have to worry about while sleeping, and only buy items whose price drop won't make you feel anxious.

Speculation focuses on the short term, chasing trends and hot spots.

In the age of AI, the emergence and update of hot spots are becoming increasingly frequent. AI can disrupt software today, disrupt SAAS the day after tomorrow, disrupt security the next day, and disrupt platforms next week…

Pursuing hot spots at this pace likely requires genius.

In the age of AI, feeling anxiety and unease when seeing new changes and new information is normal, but if we can calm down and think a step ahead, we can find things that are more meaningful and practically valuable to us.

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