Strategy Inc. (Nasdaq: MSTR) has detailed how it would respond if bitcoin suffers a steep collapse, with CEO Phong Le outlining contingency plans for BTC declines of 50%, 75%, or even a prolonged slide toward $8,000.
During a CNBC interview last week, Le was asked what his message is to investors navigating bitcoin’s volatility and sharp drawdowns. The Strategy CEO stated: “My message is to hold on. We’ve been through bitcoin downturns in the past.” He pointed to bitcoin’s surge to roughly $68,000 in 2022 before falling to about $16,000, a decline of approximately 75%. Le also referenced a more recent move from $125,000 down to $60,000, representing a drawdown of about 50%. The Strategy executive opined:
“Seven years from now, when bitcoin’s at a million and goes to $750K, it’ll be a 25% draw down. Everyone will think it’s the end of bitcoin. And I’ll say, ‘Hold on then, too.’”
Le suggested that while price swings remain sharp, including fears of a collapse toward $10,000, they are part of bitcoin’s historical cycle and should be viewed through a long-term lens. Addressing extreme downside scenarios, Le added: “Well, first of all, I don’t think bitcoin will go down to $10,000. I think it’s extremely unlikely,” describing bitcoin as a technological transformation and arguing that prior regulatory concerns have diminished.
Expanding on financial resilience, Le addressed the company’s reported $17 billion quarterly unrealized loss and how Strategy would react if bitcoin were to trade near $8,000 for an extended period.
“It’s a GAAP loss,” he said, referring to the Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP). “Those are really just GAAP mark-to-market losses. It’s really not a true cash loss for the company.” He further clarified:
“If bitcoin goes down to $8,000 for 5 years, maybe then we start to have issues around whether we need to sell bitcoin, but the GAAP loss isn’t really something we’re concerned about.”
Le emphasized that Strategy holds approximately $2.25 billion in cash and maintains about 10% to 12% leverage, levels he characterized as conservative relative to many large-cap peers. He concluded that the company maintains a “fortress balance sheet,” positioning it to withstand prolonged volatility without forced selling.
Executive Chairman Michael Saylor has reinforced that long-term posture with what he describes as a “never sell” doctrine. Despite reporting roughly $5 billion in unrealized losses in February 2026, Saylor stated this week: “We’re not going to be selling; we’re going to be buying bitcoin every quarter forever.” He characterizes bitcoin as “digital capital” and argues that exchanging it for depreciating fiat currency is illogical.
- How would Strategy (MSTR) respond if bitcoin falls 50%, 75%, or even toward $8,000?
CEO Phong Le says investors should “hold on,” emphasizing that past 50%–75% drawdowns are part of bitcoin’s historical cycles. - Does Strategy’s $17 billion GAAP loss signal liquidity risk for shareholders?
Management describes the reported $17 billion quarterly GAAP loss as a non-cash mark-to-market accounting impact rather than an operational cash loss, arguing it does not impair the company’s immediate liquidity position. - How strong is Strategy’s balance sheet amid bitcoin volatility?
Strategy reports roughly $2.25 billion in cash and 10%–12% leverage, which executives characterize as conservative and sufficient to maintain a “fortress balance sheet” through extended crypto downturns. - What is Michael Saylor’s long-term capital allocation strategy for bitcoin?
Executive Chairman Michael Saylor reiterates a “never sell” policy, stating Strategy plans to buy bitcoin every quarter indefinitely.
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