Sister Qinglan directly analyzes the core, combining the four cycles of BTC to observe trends, key levels, and trading strategies, making everything clear for you. The current market is just bottoming out; don’t get washed back and forth. Grasping the rhythm is key!

Daily trend: Weak fluctuations after a deep drop; it’s not time for a reversal yet! At the end of January, it dropped from over 90,000 to just above 60,000, and now it’s hovering around 70,000. The MA5/10/20 three moving averages are pressing down, indicating a recovery after a decline, not a reversal! Although the MACD green bars are shrinking, signaling a small stop in the decline, the RSI is still at 34, remaining weak. Remember the support at 62,000-63,000 from the previous low, and the resistance to first look at 78,000, then 80,400 MA20. If the resistance is not broken, it’s all weak trading.

4-hour mid-term: A typical flag pattern is forming, just waiting for a breakout to determine the direction! The rise from 60,000 to 72,000 is the flagpole, and now the range of 70,000 - 72,500 is the flag surface, slightly sloping down. This pattern is waiting for a breakout! The MACD is approaching the zero line but facing resistance, with bulls and bears in a hard struggle. Remember: If it breaks above 72,500 with volume, look directly at 76,000-78,000; if it falls below 70,000, it’s likely to retest 68,000 or even the previous low. A breakout is the true direction; don’t guess in the fluctuations.

1-hour short-term: The range of 70,000 - 72,000 is fluctuating, with selling pressure above being absurdly high! After shaking for more than a day, it was pulled up to 72,300 this morning and immediately smashed back down. The long upper shadow is a clear sign — there’s too much selling pressure above, and the main force isn’t pushing up! Now the moving averages are converging, and the MACD is showing a death cross weakening. 71,000 is the short-term watershed; it needs to stabilize to attack 72,000. If it can’t hold, watch for support at 70,500 and 70,000.

15-minute ultra-short: After a rollercoaster ride this morning, it’s now weakly looking for support! A sharp rise followed by a steep drop is a typical washout operation. It’s struggling around 70,600 now, with all short-term moving averages pressing down, indicating weakness. Resistance is at 71,000-71,100, and support is first at 70,500, then at 70,200. Just focus on these two levels in the ultra-short term; don’t chase highs or panic sell.

Now, let’s add a few words regarding the news: There are genuine positive signals supporting the market, but there’s also a lot of noise, and the market is still in a sensitive period! Last night, a giant whale directly withdrew over 3,500 BTC and 30,000 ETH, totaling over 300 million USD in real money to buy the dip, which is the most concrete signal; institutions like Cathie Wood's are also signaling that it’s nearing the bottom, and the fear index has risen from its low point, all of which are good news for support. However, leverage is still high; this morning, a wave of liquidation hit 93 million short positions, along with exchange mishaps and meme coins surging chaotically, indicating that funds are hesitant to enter mainstream coins, leading to significant volatility. This must be taken seriously!

Finally, Sister Qinglan provides you with operational strategies, divided into three scenarios to suit different traders. Remember: Position management > guessing direction; all operations must include stop-loss!

✅ Aggressive short-term traders: Now at 70,600, close to the lower edge, don’t chase shorts! If it stabilizes after dipping to 70,000-70,200, take a light position for a rebound, targeting 71,000-71,500, with a stop-loss below 69,800. If it breaks, run directly; don’t linger!

✅ Conservative majority: Don’t make small profits from fluctuations; wait for a breakout! If it stabilizes above 72,500 with volume (confirmed on the 4-hour chart), go long, targeting 74,000-76,000; if it effectively breaks below 69,800, take a light short on the rebound, targeting 68,000. Only trade with a clear trend!

✅ Spot mid-term players: Don’t get caught up in short-term ups and downs; just buy in batches! Place orders at 70,000, 68,000, and 65,000 in three parts, adding to your position with each drop to average down your cost. Hold on and wait for the trend to reverse; patience is more important than anything else during this bottoming period!

For more quantitative breakdowns of how real-time news affects market sentiment, check out my Qinglan Crypto Classroom at www.qinglan.org.

In the end, Sister Qinglan reiterates: Markets are born in despair, grow in hesitation, and perish in frenzy. Right now, BTC is moving from despair towards hesitation; there’s no one-sided market, only frustrating fluctuations. Don’t operate frequently, don’t gamble with heavy positions, grasp the key levels, and wait for the direction to become clear before striking hard. Winning steadily is more important than winning quickly!

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