The world is bustling, all for profit; the world is bustling, all for profit to go! Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui, focusing on digital currency market analysis, striving to convey the most valuable market information to the vast number of cryptocurrency enthusiasts. Welcome to all cryptocurrency friends for your attention and likes, and reject any market smoke screens!
Dear users, the long-awaited decline has begun. Lao Cui previously defined that after this decline, the upward mode will officially start. After three days, looking back, the strong resistance level has not been broken, and 94950 has not even had a chance to touch. Coupled with the complete digestion of short-term positive news, even the decrease in ADP employment numbers in December has made the market difficult to move. In a situation of heavy debt, it is the time for everyone to buy the dip. It has also made everyone wait for three days, and I must remind everyone not to hope for new lows to come; there will be no new lows at this stage. On the contrary, this time, small cryptocurrencies have not shown obvious signs of following the decline, and the depth will not be too deep. Especially in such a fluctuating market, one's heart will also rise and fall, which is not a good signal. Lao Cui is an extremely eloquent player, and today’s article will answer the questions everyone is concerned about: what position can Bitcoin reach?
Lao Cui will first give you the conclusion. To be frank, Lao Cui has never thought that Bitcoin possesses future attributes. Whether from a technical perspective, processing 7 transactions per second, or from a total volume perspective, it does not have the attributes of global universality. Moreover, whether it has collectible value still needs to be verified over time. As for the current price level, is there a bubble? Lao Cui can be straightforward: yes, there is! But this bubble will not dissipate for the time being; its current attribute is irreplaceable and has strong synchronicity. Why can the current price remain stable? It is largely due to Trump’s influence; one could say that Trump's role far exceeds Bitcoin's actual value. His ability to drive is enormous, and the emergence of stablecoins is meant to undermine the Bitcoin system. Many friends do not understand the operational logic of Bitcoin. Although it has been mentioned before, perhaps some of you are currently ignoring it. Lao Cui will reiterate: Bitcoin is just a piece of code, and this code and program are open source.
The so-called mining is merely to maintain the normal operation of this program. As long as you can contribute to Bitcoin, you will receive certain rewards, from miners to packers, it is the same. But this indeed constitutes a waste of resources, which is why we strongly oppose mining. If you have these resources to mine, it would be better to implement AI large model calculations or reduce electricity costs so that more people can enjoy air conditioning! This kind of resource is seen as wasteful in our eyes. Lao Cui still remembers the drought period in the country when major cities still needed to take turns using electricity, even though the power generation was at the top of the global list, the per capita amount was actually not much. Moreover, the domestic electricity consumption is increasing every year; how could everyone engage in some virtual economy? Furthermore, the cost of Bitcoin mining has now reached the 5-6 WU range, which is slightly too high, and the so-called fairness does not actually exist; currently, Satoshi Nakamoto's wallet has not spent a single cent!
Especially at this stage, Lao Cui sees that all capital is surprisingly consistent, which makes me a bit anxious. Users who have been active in the investment market know very well that you buy when no one cares and sell when there is a lot of noise! The recent event was when Trump came to power last year, and everyone shouted that Bitcoin would reach the 180,000-200,000 range. Lao Cui was also a bit dazed for a moment, but ultimately reason prevailed. Lao Cui's estimate is that by 2025, it will reach the 130,000-150,000 range, but in the end, even this position was not touched, which is a lesson in failure. This has led both Lao Cui and users to feel that, compared to the cost, Ethereum at 2400 and Bitcoin at over 60,000 is still in a profitable state, but in Lao Cui's eyes, this is a failed investment. We should have considered retreating at 120,000. Of course, compared to the current market, at least it is a failure. Therefore, Lao Cui's thought on Bitcoin is to speculate a wave while riding on Trump's popularity!
Most friends will feel that Bitcoin is suitable for long-term holding. Lao Cui's thought on Bitcoin is measured in years. Trump will still be in power for three more years, so these three years are the best investment opportunity. As long as you face the time when he is about to step down, clear your holdings six months to a year in advance to avoid this risk period, and then reassess. There will always be students who define stablecoins as a boost to Bitcoin's growth; this concept cannot form a logical relationship. It is very simple; the roles of the two are the same, so they are in a competitive relationship. When building a global payment system, do you hope it can be more stable or that the value fluctuates greatly? In this choice, Lao Cui believes that more people will choose stablecoins. Let me clarify that Lao Cui is not attacking the value of Bitcoin, but the reality is as such. Since Lao Cui has chosen the cryptocurrency circle, he naturally supports Bitcoin.
What Lao Cui wants to say is that you should not think about whether Bitcoin can reach unrealistic prices. What Bitcoin is more concerned about now is what price it is worth? Is it 200,000, 500,000, or even 1,000,000? Every time faced with this question, when Lao Cui throws it to you, no one dares to face this biggest issue. Why avoid discussing it? It is simply because one does not dare to fully recognize Bitcoin's value. The total supply is 21 million, 20 million have been produced, and 19.77 million are in circulation, leaving not much for you. If it really reaches the value of 200,000, what does that mean? It means that there will be no retail investors in the Bitcoin market; without retail investors, it becomes institutions eating institutions. Where does the capital come from? This series of questions, Lao Cui cannot find answers to. It is clear that the current downward trend is also trying to encourage retail investors to continue participating. But what about you? Even Lao Cui has started to shift to Ethereum and SOL; I believe more retail investors also dare not participate in such a large-scale market.
Lao Cui summarizes: In any market, once it begins to deviate from retail investors, that market will not be far from its end. Perhaps some friends will refute Lao Cui, saying that Bitcoin can be split downwards; if we can't afford one, we can buy 0.1. Doesn't that expand the market? Such trading only gives giants the opportunity to harvest. How much profit can 0.1 Bitcoin yield? At this stage, Americans almost occupy half of the cryptocurrency market; how can we compete with capital? The original intention of Bitcoin was to eliminate inflation, decentralization, distributed storage, and even shouted the slogan of digital gold, which led to the current price. But now, how many ideals have truly been realized? Of course, Bitcoin is still in a growth space; Lao Cui does not want to go against the trend. When the market is all pushing for high positions, Lao Cui just wants everyone to remain calm and make judgments that are beneficial to themselves. Finally, I reiterate that during Trump's presidency, Lao Cui will never look down on the cryptocurrency circle, especially the major cryptocurrencies that already have ETFs. They can be directly exchanged for US stocks, US dollars, and US Treasury bonds, which means that the US is endorsing them as valuable. As long as capital is still in the market and Trump has not retreated, there will still be growth opportunities in the cryptocurrency circle. The views expressed by Lao Cui are not aimed at short-term market conditions. I just hope everyone can seize the current opportunity; if there are no profits in the next two years, perhaps this wave of opportunities in the cryptocurrency circle will not appear again in the long river of financial markets. On the short-term level, there are no new lows, and I also remind those doing contracts that the support and resistance given to everyone are not meant for you to operate between the two but to reach the entry point. If you do not grasp it well, it is easy to incur losses; these two points remain unchanged. Lao Cui's estimate for Bitcoin in 2026 is that there will be new highs, but it will not exceed the 150,000 position; everyone should grasp it themselves!
Original creation by WeChat Official Account: Lao Cui Talks About Coins. For assistance, please contact directly.
Lao Cui's message: Investing is like playing chess; a master can see five, seven, or even ten steps ahead, while a novice can only see two or three steps. The master considers the overall situation, strategizes for the big picture, and does not focus on individual pieces or territories, aiming for the ultimate victory. The novice, on the other hand, fights for every inch, frequently switching between long and short positions, only competing for short-term gains, and often finds themselves trapped.
This material is for learning reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading based on this is at your own risk!
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