Cryptocurrency News
January 9 Hot Topics:
1. Fitch: Expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates twice in the first half of the year; the unemployment rate may stabilize at 4.6% this year.
2. Morgan Stanley advances its digital asset layout; E*Trade plans to launch cryptocurrency trading.
3. CFTC issues a no-action letter to Bitnomial, allowing it to launch event contracts.
4. Ethereum treasury company SharpLink stakes $170 million in ETH to Linea.
5. Wall Street and the crypto industry hold private talks to push for "progress" on crypto legislation.
Trading Insights
Cryptocurrency Trading: My three core insights:
- Accept unpredictability and focus on risk management. The market cannot be precisely predicted. I have learned not to chase every fluctuation but to strictly adhere to discipline: the risk of a single trade should not exceed 2% of total capital, never use excessive leverage, and stop-loss must be executed. Surviving gives you a chance to win.
- Emotions are the biggest cost. Fear and greed can destroy all strategies. I have established rules to combat emotions: create a written plan, pause trading during emotional fluctuations, and avoid frequently monitoring the market. A calm machine lives longer than a frenzied genius.
- Balance between "simplicity" and "change." Technical indicators are just tools, not a holy grail. I have shifted to a clearer framework: identify major trends, combine key fundamentals (such as project ecology, on-chain data), and understand market cycle positions. Meanwhile, continue learning but do not blindly chase every new hot topic. Core takeaway: Long-term success does not rely on precise predictions but on keeping losses manageable when mistakes happen and letting profits run when correct. In this high-volatility field, discipline and patience are more reliable partners than talent.
LIFE IS LIKE
A JOURNEY ▲
Below are the real trading signals from the Big White Community this week. Congratulations to the friends who followed along; if your operations are not going well, you can come and test the waters.
Data is real, and each trade has a screenshot from when it was sent.
**Search for the public account: *Big White Talks About Coins*
Bilibili and YouTube account: Daquan777
BTC
Analysis
Bitcoin's weekly chart is in a rectangular oscillation range and has not effectively broken through the upper edge of 94,500. The weekly volume is relatively low, and the upper and lower shadows show a divergence between bulls and bears. The upper shadow fell back after touching the upper edge of the rectangle at 94,500, while the lower shadow found support near the trend line. On the daily chart, yesterday closed with a long lower shadow, and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands found support. If today forms a bullish engulfing candle, it could create a morning star pattern. The current key price levels are: 89,500/88,000 resistance: 93,500/94,800; MACD and RSI may have a potential for dullness recovery; pay attention to the 4-hour chart for short-term opportunities.
ETH
Analysis
Two important events occurred on Friday. One is the release of non-farm payroll data, which currently shows that both good and bad unemployment data are considered good. An increase in the unemployment rate may raise expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, while a decrease indicates that the U.S. economy remains optimistic. However, it is highly likely that there will be no interest rate adjustments in January; adjustments after March will be more about the direct game between Trump and the Federal Reserve.
The other more important matter is that tomorrow the Supreme Court may announce its ruling on Trump's tariffs. If it deems Trump's tariffs illegal, it would be beneficial for alleviating inflation in the U.S. and would help the Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates. However, it may be uncomfortable for Trump and his administration, and it could impact Trump's approval ratings. A pullback to around 3,056-3,025 could be an opportunity to go long, with a rebound target looking towards 3,150-3,200.
Disclaimer: The above content is personal opinion and for reference only! It does not constitute specific operational advice and does not bear legal responsibility. Market conditions change rapidly, and the article has a certain lag. If you have any questions, feel free to consult.
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