Good evening everyone, I am Xin Ya. 2025 is almost coming to an end. Have you completed the initial plan? In the year of the bull, only a few stand out. How many people in this cycle played mainstream and were liquidated by black swans, and how many were buried by altcoins? Such things happen in the market every day, but only what you have in hand is the real result. We have witnessed many people at the peak, but have never left at the summit. We have also seen many people fade away, their brilliance only belonging to a very few. We do not belong to that group, but we are charging forward with that purpose. At least the current bountiful year aligns with everyone's hearts. The future is too far away; focus on the present, be good to yourself, and don’t stay up late watching the market every day. The night market during this period does not have the volatility of the daytime market.

The end-of-month options settlement includes factors such as financial market turbulence, geopolitical situations, and policy pressures. But what truly affects the pattern is the game of direction. Tonight is the Premier League, and our focus is on the match, so I hope everyone takes care of themselves and gets good rest. Xin Ya wishes you well and wishes you a happy New Year in advance, so you have time to prepare to celebrate the New Year with those important to you. Once you enter the crypto circle, everyone is a fool, so it's good to remind yourself. Remember not to operate hastily; take a moment, live well, and set an example for 2026.

Let's first look at the intraday trend. Bitcoin is fluctuating in the range of 86800-88200. The rise during the night session on the 29th and the rebound at 2 AM were both suppressed. The price retested around 86800 during the afternoon, showing buying support. Starting from 1 PM, the one-hour MACD has already crossed above the zero line, and the price is running at the one-hour EMA 120 and EMA 144, where there is significant resistance around 87800. Currently, the four-hour chart has shown four consecutive bullish candles, and the one-hour MACD fast line has been brought above the zero line. The future trend will depend on the performance in the range of 87800-88500. The strong resistance remains unchanged in the range of 89500-90500.

The trend of Ethereum is relatively more urgent than Bitcoin. The rise at 4 PM, from the one-hour EMA 7, 30, 120, and 144 crossover point at 2950, jumped above 3000, rising much stronger than Bitcoin. After the closing candle, it has been consolidating in a narrow range around 2972-2988 for four hours. The one-hour MACD energy is slowing down, but the four-hour chart has just started, and the future may revolve around 3000 for contention.

Since we have been short for a few days, the market's consolidation has not yielded good results. The four-hour chart is relatively neutral, and we need to adjust our thinking appropriately. For now, we will handle it around the fluctuations.

For Bitcoin, pay close attention to 88500, 89500, and 90500 above, and 87200, 86500 below. For Ethereum, focus on the 3000 level and 3050 above, and the 2930-2950 range below.

The current market is very tangled, and we are relatively cautious. Previously, our bearish logic was based on the expectation of a downward trend in the market or to catch a deep needle, but after a week, the market is still consolidating. We need to change our thinking appropriately. For now, we will handle it around the fluctuations.

For Bitcoin, go long at 86800, with a stop loss at 86350, or short at 88500-88800, with a supplement at 89500 and a stop loss at 90250. For Ethereum, since we are short at 2950, we can add at 3000, and currently, we can reduce our position appropriately. Set the stop loss at 3030, and go long at 2930, with a stop loss at 2885.

The expected fluctuation range for Bitcoin is 87200-88850. The first wave of Ethereum's amplitude may be larger. In this way, handling fluctuations will not have a low profit-loss ratio or win rate. We tend to be mainly bearish.

Moving forward together: Public account: Jiang Xin Lun Chan

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