The world is bustling, all for profit; the world is bustling, all for profit to go! Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui, focusing on digital currency market analysis, striving to convey the most valuable market information to the vast number of cryptocurrency enthusiasts. I welcome everyone's attention and likes, and reject any market smoke screens!
Japan's interest rate hike has finally come to an end. Yesterday, it can be said that part of today's negative news has been digested. As of now, the market fluctuations are relatively calm. Many friends feel that Lao Cui's updates are a bit slow. The prerequisite is that Lao Cui did not intend to develop business targeting the mainland market. Secondly, there are too many users in hand, so the analysis is more trend-based. If anyone has specific questions, feel free to ask Lao Cui directly. Today's update is also due to the previous reminder that Japan's interest rate hike will reach a short-term low, and the overall trend may have reached a moment of re-decision. The conclusion given to everyone at that time was to wait for Japan to lower interest rates to buy the dip, and the phased goal has been achieved. You may consider the option to buy the dip. Many friends who listened to Lao Cui's remarks chose to stake, which is indeed the only way to salvage operations at present. Doing nothing seems a bit foolish at this stage.
A very important piece of news is that the UK has recently officially legalized cryptocurrency assets, defining them as a third type of property, equivalent in status to personal assets like real estate and stocks. This news is considered a relatively radical choice and is the only one among all major countries. Even the United States has not officially legalized cryptocurrency; the UK is the first step, which is certainly a significant positive news for the crypto world. Many friends focus on short-term market trends and often overlook these events that have already occurred. This matter is a historic moment for Bitcoin, and it will mean that cryptocurrency may no longer be synonymous with gray assets. The UK holds a particularly unique position in the financial sector, with London being almost the largest financial trading market in Europe. This openness carries extremely special significance, which Lao Cui has emphasized twice and cannot elaborate on. Many trades may be conducted in a concealed manner.
Most friends tend to criticize the endorsement form of cryptocurrency, always measuring it by bubbles. Lao Cui will not elaborate on the bubble issue, as he has discussed it too much before. New fans can look at previous articles; Lao Cui will only mention one point: the current cryptocurrency market, whether in terms of concepts or the actual technology implemented, is superior to the US dollar system. Moreover, even if the US collapses in the future, no other fiat currency will be able to replace it. This is a flaw of traditional currency that will inevitably be eliminated by history. At this stage, the currency most likely to take over the US dollar system is cryptocurrency. You don't need to say that gold is the best substitute; you can't carry dozens of tons of gold to conduct energy transactions, right? It doesn't make sense. If gold were to return to the stage of trading currency, that would truly be a regression in history. Cryptocurrency is the only existence that can eliminate inflation and facilitate transactions; this is a technological innovation and a historical advancement.
Of course, what Lao Cui is saying does not mean that Bitcoin will replace the US dollar system; this is not very realistic. A more likely scenario is the emergence of a new cryptocurrency in the future, which must be mutually recognized by major countries. The mature system of Bitcoin, combined with technical issues, is not suitable for large-scale transactions. Once a new coin appears, it will definitely require consensus among everyone; without consensus, it is just a mess. This road is extremely long, and Lao Cui may not see it realized in his lifetime. Getting a bit too far off track, let's return to ourselves. When discussing the future of cryptocurrency, we must mention the issue of exchange rates. This has been discussed before; most friends only focus on the appreciation or depreciation of the CNY, while the pegged currencies are all priced in US dollars. If everyone could broaden their horizons, they would find that the exchange rate of CNY against other currencies has always been very stable.
This stability is something the US dollar does not possess. Regarding the issue of appreciation and depreciation, everyone can currently find answers. As long as we still want to increase our share of global industrial output, it means that industrial goods must maintain a price advantage. Therefore, from our perspective, we actually do not want the CNY to appreciate rapidly, at least not too high before reaching this share. Why control the cryptocurrency market? The focus is still on the uncontrollability of cryptocurrency. Anyone involved in foreign trade knows that many foreign trade companies are privately using USDT for settlement. This form of settlement completely bypasses the foreign exchange level, leading to uncontrollable exchange rates, which will definitely be suppressed. In other words, this targeting is more aimed at foreign trade enterprises; domestic private speculation is basically unregulated, but exchanges will become more difficult.
Lao Cui summarizes: Overall, the trend has not changed significantly, and the market trend after today's interest rate hike is actually growing against the trend. With the negative news exhausted, it is highly likely that bets will be placed on future positive news. What is the positive news? According to US speculation, there may still be two interest rate cuts in 2026, so is January worth looking forward to? Even if there is no interest rate cut, the pace of balance sheet expansion, which everyone sees as repurchase, will continue for half a year. Will this repurchase still drive growth in the crypto world? To be honest, Lao Cui does not view the market sentiment as pessimistic; rather, at the current level, Lao Cui is firmly bullish. This year's existence is more about digesting last year's bubble. As long as this year's digestion is completed, especially with the US's monetary easing starting and money printing, the crypto world will definitely have room for growth. Of course, all of this points to already listed cryptocurrencies, not other coins. The push for a weaker dollar cannot occur during a bear market. The current giants in the crypto world are merely trying to scatter everyone's bullish aspirations; the giants have not left the market, which is the focus. The current market trend is simply about shorting the positives and going long on the negatives, very much like a cleanup before a pump. If you are a contract user, Lao Cui also has the idea of going long at low levels. If you cannot grasp it, please consult Lao Cui; he still remains bullish in the future.
Original creation by WeChat Official Account: Lao Cui Talks About Coins. For assistance, please contact directly.
Lao Cui's message: Investing is like playing chess; a master can see five, seven, or even more than ten moves ahead, while a novice can only see two or three moves. The master considers the overall situation and the big trend, not focusing on individual pieces or territories, aiming for the ultimate victory. The novice, on the other hand, fights for every inch of land, frequently switching between long and short positions, only competing for short-term gains, and often finds themselves trapped.
This material is for learning reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading based on this is at your own risk!
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