Old Cui says about coins: Has the bull market in the crypto circle arrived? Is there still a season for altcoins? Which coin will be the next to explode in the bull market?

CN
4 hours ago

The world is bustling, all for profit; the world is bustling, all for profit to go! Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui, focusing on digital currency market analysis, striving to convey the most valuable market information to the vast number of coin friends. I welcome everyone's attention and likes, and reject any market smoke screens!

Recently, I exchanged views with several coin friends again regarding the relationship between the timing of market launches and the main force's pull. The discussions were extremely in-depth and profound. After the exchange, my feeling is that many friends have a misconception about the stage of large-scale buying by the main force, as if they believe that as long as the main force buys in large quantities, there will be explosive growth and a bull market will come. This concept can easily lead to misunderstanding. Taking the cryptocurrency circle as an example, especially during BlackRock's crazy buying phase, the majority of chips were actually purchased before the bull market started. The turnover between Grayscale and BlackRock had almost no impact on the market. My understanding of the main force's buying phase is slightly different from others; the main force's buying is merely a recognition of the future trend. The real market arrival is certainly at a time when chips are highly concentrated, not during the main force's buying phase.

Just like Trump buying Ethereum at the 3400 price point at the end of 2024, Ethereum then fell all the way down to below 1400. But why did the author also choose to buy? It is because I believe that Trump cannot lose. Ultimately, through trading, the price was pulled up to around 2300-2400, and it took half a year of holding to see profits. If we calculate based on Trump's initial buying price, recognizing the main force's buying timing, I would probably not have been able to hold that position. Thus, it can almost be inferred that the main force's buying timing is merely an acknowledgment of the trend, not the timing for the bull market to start. The real judgment of the launch timing, for the cryptocurrency circle, is to look at the concentration of the dealer's chips. Currently, BlackRock's Ethereum holdings have surpassed historical highs, and the current cryptocurrency market is indeed a moment of high chip concentration. Only through pulling the market will there be continuous buying.

At the same time, after comparing the performance of SOL, you may feel that Ethereum currently has no competitiveness; in my eyes, this is also a normal cycle. Many often overlook the most important point, which is cyclicality. Ethereum's rapid growth in the first half of the year occurred while SOL had not yet started, even showing a trend of not rising but falling, maintaining this for nearly two months. According to the current trend, it should be SOL's turn to start; this wave of the bull market may also be SOL's solo performance. Regarding the altcoins you are looking forward to, I can speak frankly: there will be no explosive growth of altcoins in this bull market. WLFI is an example; even the coins from the Trump system did not see explosive growth upon listing, and the harvesting began immediately, which has become the default procedure in the cryptocurrency circle. Compliance is aimed at clearing out the altcoin season, so it is best for you to clear out the altcoins in your hands as soon as possible. Returning to mainstream coins is the ultimate destination. I have recommended mainstream coins to you multiple times; you can refer to the articles on the homepage. If there are still coins you are unsure about, you can directly ask me.

Original creation by WeChat public account: Lao Cui Talks About Coins. For assistance, you can contact me directly.

Lao Cui's message: Investing is like playing chess; a master can see five, seven, or even more than ten moves ahead, while a novice can only see two or three moves. The master considers the overall situation and strategizes for the big picture, not focusing on one piece or one territory, aiming for the final victory. The novice, however, fights for every inch, frequently switching between long and short positions, only competing for short-term gains, and ends up frequently trapped.

This material is for learning reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading based on this is at your own risk!

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