Institutional accumulation and impressive technical indicators suggest that the $250,000 target may be achieved next year.

Written by: Alertforalpha

Translated by: Blockchain Simplified

$250,000 Bitcoin—sounds crazy, right?

But some staunch bulls have put forth this number, and they have charts to back it up. Here’s why this is not just a fantasy.

1. M2 Money Surge—Liquidity Tsunami

The global M2 money supply is surging and is not expected to stop anytime soon. According to Real Vision analysis, the global liquidity wave will continue until 2026. This means the four-year cycle may be broken. Don’t expect a timely peak this October. If the funds keep flowing, BTC could reach $250,000 by next spring.

2. High-Yield Bonds—No Panic, No Problem

Bitcoin bull Tom Lee points out that the high-yield bond market—a barometer of financial crises—has not shown any panic. Government bonds are somewhat volatile, but high-yield bonds remain calm. This is not a sign of an impending crash. If the bond market isn’t panicking, you don’t need to panic either.

3. V-Shaped Recovery Probability—History Favors the Bulls

Interestingly, since 1950, out of 18 major declines, 17 have experienced a V-shaped rapid recovery, with a success rate of 94%. If you think the market will crash directly, you are going against history.

4. Business Cycle Bottom—We Are at the Low

Markets peak at the top of the business cycle, not at the bottom. We are still in the "harsh, terrifying" phase of the cycle. This is good news for bulls. Once the cycle turns, the bull market will arrive.

5. Technical Models Point to Higher Prices

Technical analysis also supports the upward trend:

• Power Law Chart: Baseline of $150,000 by the end of 2025, reaching $250,000 by 2028.

• Pi Cycle Top: Currently around $160,000, but can rise to $250,000 with continued growth.

• Golden Ratio Multiplier: Conservative estimate of $160,000, with slight extension reaching $250,000.

• Fibonacci Extension: If history repeats, the target is between $215,000 and $250,000.

6. Institutions Are Still Accumulating Coins

Don’t forget about the big players. Institutions like BlackRock, Fidelity, and MicroStrategy are still buying Bitcoin in large quantities. There are even rumors that the U.S. government is considering including BTC in its strategic reserves. You wouldn’t want to hop on the train just as it’s leaving, would you?

7. Adjust Your Mindset—This Is a Long Game

Yes, there will be "violent, nauseating pullbacks" along the way. You will feel like it’s all over—then the price will skyrocket. Countless newcomers will be liquidated on the road to $250,000. Don’t become one of them.

Conclusion—Hang In There

Bottom line? Ignore the noise, disregard the bears, and stay focused. If you are a long-term player, a $250,000 Bitcoin is not only possible—it’s within reach.

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