The essence of trading is survival, and only then comes profit. Therefore, before each operation, think carefully about whether your actions are reasonable and whether your capital is safe. You need to develop a trading mindset that belongs to you, continuously optimizing and improving it. Although the suggestions from the crypto circle academicians may not make you rich overnight, they can help you stay in the game. Only those who survive in the crypto space for the long term and persist until the end can achieve the results they desire. I hope you understand.
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Crypto Circle Academician: May 20, 2025 Bitcoin (BTC) Latest Market Analysis
The current price of Bitcoin is 105,200. It is now 1:30 AM Beijing time. It is wise to maintain a cautious attitude. Yesterday, I mentioned that if the previous high of 106,000 is broken, even if you don't short, don't chase the high. Now that the market has moved, was this wave of liquidation anticipated? The divergence at the top of the order book already indicated that the main force was likely to push the price up to sell off. Now that the selling has ended, many crypto friends have already been shaken out. What should the main force do now? That's right, continue to stretch. By the time you react, Bitcoin will have risen above 105,000. Whether to follow or not is a choice.
Looking at the daily candlestick chart, the highest point is 107,100, and the lowest is 102,000. The lowest point just dipped to the EMA15 trend support line, a position I have mentioned for at least ten days. After the pullback, the rebound shows a significant and minor volume indicator with MACD divergence, indicating the presence of bearish momentum. The DIF and DEA are also exchanging chips back and forth in a bullish and bearish manner. The Bollinger Bands remain in an upward channel, with the upper resistance level at 109,000 and the middle band at 101,000. Each time it reaches a historical high, there will be fluctuations exceeding 5,000 points, so the entry point must be chosen carefully.
On the four-hour candlestick chart, the main force's U-shaped transition has returned to a high position. After forming a double bottom trend below EMA60, the bullish trend opens up, creating a one-sided market. After continuous volume increase in MACD, the DIF and DEA form a golden cross. The current resistance point to watch is the upper Bollinger Band at 105,750. As long as the upper band is not broken, there is still hope for a bearish trend. In this kind of market, there is no rush to enter; you can patiently wait for a stretch to break the previous high or a pullback to break the previous low before entering, which will keep the stop loss not too far, allowing for more profit capture.
Short-term reference: The market is never 100% certain, so always set a stop loss. Safety first; small losses and big gains are the goal.
For a northern trial position, enter long at 102,500 to 102,000, with a stop loss at 101,500 (500 points), targeting 103,500 to 104,500, and if broken, look at 105,500.
For a southern trial position, enter short at 108,000 to 108,500, with a stop loss at 109,000 (500 points), targeting 106,500 to 105,500, and if broken, look at 104,500.
Specific operations should be based on real-time data from the order book. For more information, you can consult the author. There may be delays in article publication; the suggestions are for reference only, and risks are borne by the reader.
This article is exclusively contributed by the Crypto Circle Academician and represents the unique views of the Academician. In-depth research has been conducted on BTC, ETH, DOGE, DOT, FIL, EOS, etc. Due to the timing of the article's release, the above views and suggestions may not be real-time and are for reference only. Risks are borne by the reader. Please indicate the source when reprinting. Manage your positions reasonably and avoid heavy or full positions. The Academician also hopes that all investors understand that the market is always right. If you are wrong, you should reflect on where the problem lies. Do not let the profits that should be yours slip away. There is no need to be smarter than the market; when a trend comes, respond and follow it; when there is no trend, observe and remain calm. It is not too late to act once the trend becomes clear. Tomorrow's success stems from today's choices. Heaven rewards diligence, the earth rewards kindness, humanity rewards sincerity, business rewards trust, industry rewards excellence, and art rewards passion. Gains and losses often occur unexpectedly. Develop the habit of strictly setting stop losses and take profits for each trade. The Crypto Circle Academician wishes you happy investing!
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