In the world, everyone is bustling for profit; in the world, everyone is striving for gain! Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui who talks about coins, focusing on digital currency market analysis, striving to convey the most valuable market information to the vast number of coin friends. Welcome to all coin friends' attention and likes, and reject any market smoke screens!

Many friends have been asking why Lao Cui hasn't published articles recently. Thank you all for your concern. A lot has happened in the past month, which has caught Lao Cui a bit off guard. The primary issue is still with contract users. Since the end of April, the short-term trends have been very unexpected, largely due to issues related to Trump. Whether it’s tariffs or attitudes towards the crypto space, they have influenced the market trends over the past month. Although spot users have been continuously profiting, and Lao Cui is primarily a spot analyst, the losses in contracts have indeed made Lao Cui very frustrated. Therefore, Lao Cui has decided not to provide any more advice for contract users, including platform issues; Lao Cui will no longer give any suggestions. Whether for spot users or contract users in the future, everyone can freely choose their platforms. Readers can also see some clues in the articles; previous predictions for Ethereum were quite accurate, indeed laying out positions at the lowest point of 1500, and the layout for Bitcoin spot has not encountered issues. However, it must be said that the articles mentioned even lower points, and all of this stems from tariff issues and Trump's attitude towards the crypto space. The biggest basis for judgment is actually the unwillingness of the Americans to invest in strategic reserves. It is unprecedented for a president to change their stance so quickly.

Lao Cui's intention for articles on viewpoints is merely to express opinions; the business is not primarily based on self-media. Therefore, for users focused on trends, especially those who follow Lao Cui for spot layout, I hope everyone does not operate funds based solely on the articles and must have their own judgment. Regarding future trends, as mentioned earlier, the differences are not too significant, merely a matter of timing. Exiting a month early in trends does not greatly affect spot users; it mainly shortens the time for everyone to profit. The focus for everyone should be more on future trends. Many users are currently stuck in short positions, and now that we are in mid-May, there will definitely be opportunities for those stuck in short positions to exit. After exiting, they need to immediately adjust their strategies. Entering June, influenced by interest rate cuts, the funding gap will become smaller. Lao Cui's prediction for this year's high point has not changed, maintaining the same view as at the beginning of the year. The high point for Bitcoin will be around 12-15, and for Ethereum, around 4000, one should prepare to exit. For other coins, everyone can observe; as long as Bitcoin continues to break through, small coins will also be affected. Most coins may not reach new highs, but they are suitable for small capital to profit.

Regarding the depth of short-term corrections, do not hold too much hope; the depth will not be too deep. The best situation is always to cut losses and adjust direction in a timely manner. For those still holding positions in spot, you can hold on bravely; the new highs in the second half of the year will definitely break the highs from the beginning of the year. After reaching new highs, everyone should be ready to exit at any time. Trump's instability is extremely fatal for the crypto space. Everyone must pay attention to the impact of tariffs; the recent CPI data can explain a lot. With the consensus on tariffs reached, the data from April is questionable, and there is an 80% chance that the interest rate will remain unchanged in June. The consensus on tariffs has led to a delay in interest rate cuts, and this instability will increase the likelihood of corrections in the crypto space. The current funding reserves in the crypto space are not optimistic. The Americans' confidence in releasing this data is based on the tariff consensus; the longer it drags on, the more beneficial it is for the Federal Reserve. The two interest rate cuts in the second half of the year will definitely not change, especially since the April data is questionable. This can be elaborated; the entire month of April was under the tariff cycle, and the American data is certainly inflation-focused. The inflation data that has been released is primarily to stabilize people's confidence. Do not think that interest rate cuts are far away; the previous estimate for tariff cuts was in June. The smooth progress of this meeting can also indicate some issues. Even if there is no interest rate cut in June, there will definitely be a wave between July and September. Everyone should be prepared for the new round of planning. As long as there is no interest rate cut in June, there will still be a certain depth of correction. For users currently holding short positions, it is best to seize the opportunity to exit in a timely manner.

The data everyone needs to pay attention to is the CPI for May, which will relate to the timing of interest rate cuts. The hidden data from April will likely be revealed in May, so it is still too early to draw conclusions about interest rate cuts. The entry points for spot users were all relatively low; what everyone needs to do is to observe the changes. Even if there is a correction to your entry points, you only need to continue to add positions. Currently, the overall position has entered about 50%, and for the remaining positions, do not act rashly. Profits have already exceeded previous estimates, and you can patiently wait for this wave of corrections before making plans. At this stage, Lao Cui's judgment on the market is that there will only be interest rate cuts in June. As long as there is no interest rate cut plan initiated in June, the depth of corrections will exceed everyone's expectations. Once there is a plan for interest rate cuts, the new highs of the bull market will continue to be set. In the short term, the overall funding connection has shown a gap, and the likelihood of sustained upward trends will encounter certain resistance. The deep corrections everyone is looking forward to are not too far away. For users wanting to short, they can selectively enter after the highs, but the holding time for short positions should not be too long. If losses occur, they must be stopped in time. The overall trend has not changed; this surge is merely attributed to the end of tariffs and the demand from high-level crypto players, merely preparing for new highs in the second half of the year, serving as a preliminary test.

Lao Cui summarizes: I remind everyone that Lao Cui is primarily focused on users from Hong Kong, and self-media users are merely supplementary. Therefore, contract users should not pay too much attention to Lao Cui's articles. The trend aspect is only to assist in judgment; the core concept is still to hope everyone focuses on mainstream currency spot and stable investments. To put it bluntly, contract users will not lead everyone to find direction in the short term. If you have questions, you can consult Lao Cui, who will provide his opinions, but this does not exist within the business sector. Lao Cui has no intention to harm anyone and feels regret and sorrow for everyone's losses. In the future, Lao Cui will also express opinions cautiously and sincerely wishes everyone can carve out their own territory in the crypto space. Finally, regarding market conditions, Lao Cui's personal view is that there will still be corrections before interest rate cuts. This round of surges is merely an illusion, without funding support. Everyone's judgment of trends is the same; just remember one thing: where does the funding come from? After this article is published, there will still be a pause in updates. If you have specific questions, you can directly ask Lao Cui, and his answers only represent personal opinions. I hope everyone can be cautious in adopting them. Overall, contract users can short after a surge, while spot users with prior setups should not act rashly for now and should preserve their profits. For users who have not entered the market, it is best to wait for the next round of deep corrections before choosing to enter; it is not suitable to chase highs at this stage. For users who have previously bottomed out in contracts, profits must reach over 10,000 USDT to add positions; if the standard is not met, they can exit to preserve profits. In summary, even if there are new highs in this new phase of surges, they are merely fleeting, and after the spike, there will be corrections. The substantial stabilization phenomenon must wait until after interest rate cuts. What everyone needs to do at this stage is to reserve funds and wait for interest rate cuts to come, preparing for interest rate cuts, and to buy low and go long.

Original creation by WeChat Official Account: Lao Cui Talks About Coins. For assistance, please contact directly.

Lao Cui's message: Investing is like playing chess; a master can see five, seven, or even ten steps ahead, while a novice can only see two or three steps. The master considers the overall situation and strategizes for the big picture, not focusing on individual pieces or positions, aiming for the ultimate victory. The novice, however, fights for every inch of ground, frequently switching between long and short positions, only competing for short-term gains, and often finds themselves trapped.

This material is for learning reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading based on this is at your own risk!

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