Record Stablecoin Liquidity Fuels Bitcoin’s Exit From Bearish Territory

CN
13 hours ago

The total market capitalization of stablecoins reached a record high, a threshold historically linked to upward momentum for bitcoin ( BTC), Cryptoquant researchers noted in their latest analysis. Tether ( USDT) and USDC, the two largest stablecoins, drove this growth, with USDT’s market cap rising by $2.5 billion and USDC’s increasing by $1.2 billion in the past week alone.

Over the past 30 days, USDT’s market cap expanded by $5.3 billion and USDC’s by $6 billion, both exceeding their 30-day moving averages. Cryptoquant highlighted this trend as a historically reliable indicator of improving liquidity and bitcoin price appreciation. However, USDT reserves on exchanges fell 12% to $38 billion from February’s peak of $43 billion, while USDC exchange balances climbed to $6.5 billion, their highest since March 2023.

Bitcoin’s Bull Score Index, which measures market sentiment, rose to 50 from 20 the prior week, moving out of bearish territory into neutral, per Cryptoquant data. The increase reflects stronger stablecoin liquidity and bitcoin’s breach of key onchain resistance levels. Sustained rallies typically require scores above 60, researchers cautioned.

Cryptoquant emphasized that stablecoin liquidity growth often precedes BTC price gains, as capital availability fuels trading and investment. While bitcoin initially lagged behind the rapid expansion of stablecoin supply, its recent rebound aligns with broader liquidity trends.

The firm’s analysts noted that USDC’s rising exchange reserves could provide near-term support for crypto prices, as higher reserves enhance market liquidity. In contrast, USDT’s reduced exchange presence suggests capital may be moving into other assets or off-platform storage.

As of the latest report, bitcoin’s price trajectory remains tethered to stablecoin dynamics, with Cryptoquant’s data highlighting liquidity as a critical driver of market health. Researchers note that analysts should monitor whether the Bull Score Index crosses into bullish territory, which would signal stronger investor confidence.

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