Bitcoin Technical Analysis: Bulls Seek to Regain Upward Momentum

Bitcoin’s (BTC) market capitalization stands strong today at $1.23 trillion with a trade volume of $25.37 billion over the past 24 hours, reflecting significant trader interest. Bitcoin’s oscillators predominantly indicate neutrality, with the relative strength index (RSI) at 48 and the commodity channel index (CCI) close to zero, suggesting a balance between buying and selling pressures.

BTC/USD daily chart.

However, the momentum oscillator at 2353 and the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) level at -792 lean towards a bullish signal, hinting at underlying strength. On the other hand, moving averages (MAs) paint a divergent picture: short-term exponential moving averages (EMAs) and simple moving averages (SMAs) for 10 and 100 days suggest bullish opportunities, whereas longer EMAs and SMAs for 20, 30, and 50 days show bearish sentiment, reflecting a market in transition.

BTC/USD 4-hour chart.

The 1-hour chart reveals a sharp increase to a peak of $63,876, followed by stabilization around $63,000, indicating a short-term resistance level. Entry could be considered around the support zone of $62,500, particularly if bullish patterns emerge. The 4-hour chart highlights a recent recovery from a low of $60,634, showcasing potential resistance near $65,500.

The daily chart underscores a bearish trend from a high of $72,756 to $56,500 over the last month, with a nascent attempt at recovery. This longer view suggests caution, advising investors to watch for sustained bullish signals before committing to longer-term positions. Currently, bulls are aiming to test upper resistance as we approach the weekend, despite encountering some obstacles along the way.

Bull Verdict:

The outlook remains optimistic for bitcoin as it shows resilience in testing upper resistance levels. Increased trading activity and positive movements in short-term indicators suggest potential for further gains. Traders should consider strategic entries when the market begins to demonstrate solid signs of upward momentum.

Bear Verdict:

Caution is advised due to the mixed signals from longer-term MAs and persistent resistance levels. The prevailing uncertainty, coupled with potential overhead barriers, could limit BTC’s upward progress and increase the risk of a downturn. Traders may want to prioritize risk management and remain alert to any shifts toward bearish trends.

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