A global geopolitical event has revealed the "pros and cons" of prediction markets.

The conflict between the United States and Iran dominates market sentiment, with BTC currently reported at 66,328.57 USD, caught in a high volatility oscillation between 65,000 and 67,200, with both long and short positions in a standoff, requiring careful operation.

Original | Odaily Planet Daily (@OdailyChina) Author | jk On February 28, 2026, the United States and Israel launched a large-scale military strike against Iran. This operation aimed to destroy Iran's nuclear facilities, ballistic missile systems, and military leadership, and publicly declared the intention to overthrow the current Iranian regime. Airstrikes covered multiple cities, including Tehran and Isfahan, with the Supreme Leader Khamenei reportedly confirmed dead. At least 200 people have died within Iran. Iran immediately launched large-scale retaliation, targeting Israel and seven other nations including Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, and the UAE.

Brothers, something big has happened again. Big Beautiful has started to take action against Iran. Just a second ago, social media was bragging about Iran backing down and submitting nuclear materials, saying peace was on the way, and the next second everything turned around.

On February 28, 2026, the U.S. military and the Israeli army jointly launched a military operation against Iran codenamed **"Roaring Lion,"** directly bringing the long-suppressed U.S.-Iran and Israeli-Iranian conflicts to the forefront, triggering a chain reaction of Iranian ballistic missile retaliation and regional security repercussions. Iran launched about 30 ballistic missiles at Israel (according to a single source), with Israel claiming that its defense system successfully intercepted them, while the airstrikes on **Hormuz Port and Bushehr Port** involved the security of global energy routes and nuclear facilities.

From 14:10, within 46 minutes, the BTC price plummeted from $65560 to $62980, a decrease of 3.94%.

On February 28, 2026, at 8:00 PM Beijing time, the U.S. military and the Israeli military launched a joint airstrike on the Iranian capital **Tehran**, targeting government and security agency buildings, with multiple precision-guided weapons tracing their paths through the night. This surprise attack immediately triggered a rise in global risk appetite: Iran announced the **closure of its entire airspace**, international gold prices soared to **$5,386 per ounce** in a short period, while in the cryptocurrency market, the well-known on-chain address **Machi** had a position of approximately **$245,000**.

On February 28, 2026, at 8:00 AM Beijing time, the US-Israeli coalition conducted air strikes on government targets in Iran's capital, Tehran, directing the flames of war towards the core of Iranian power. According to information publicly released by multiple media outlets, the strikes targeted several government buildings, including the presidential palace. Iran's supreme leader, Khamenei, was urgently relocated to a safe location. In response to the operation, Israel announced that it had "achieved all established objectives" and declared a "national state of emergency." From the launch of the missiles to the official release of information,

Encrypted funds are accelerating to flow into stocks, with AI, metals, and energy becoming consensus overweight. Humanoid robots have shifted from attention to actual positions, and memory semiconductors are receiving highly confident bets.

Both the US stock market and Bitcoin fell over the weekend, with poor price performance.

The endpoint of computing power has turned into electricity this time.

Tokenized U.S. stocks are still in the early stages, but extended trading hours and on-chain composability are changing the way assets circulate, providing new technical pathways for cross-market trading structures.

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