The world is bustling, all for profit; the world is bustling, all for profit! Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui Shuobi, focusing on the analysis of cryptocurrency market trends, striving to deliver the most valuable market information to the majority of coin friends. Welcome the attention and likes of the majority of coin friends, and refuse any market smokescreens!

In the morning, a piece of news from the United States delayed the listing of Ethereum (ETH), and the cryptocurrency circle can be said to have reacted instantly. This is the nature of the cryptocurrency circle, public opinion always outweighs everything. In the past few days, a series of operations have also been reported in China, including the price increase of high-speed rail, which many users are concerned about, as it involves people's livelihood issues. However, currently, water, electricity, and gas, involving residential and non-residential sectors, will see price increases in many places, and it emphasizes the three words "market-oriented recommendation." However, this is indeed a very market-oriented performance. The prices of our goods must be benchmarked, and these things must be compared in the global market. It's no wonder that KTG and WK were able to give away gifts in the past two years, because there is indeed currently an impact of deflation.

After a series of market-oriented measures, it is clear to everyone that the prices of daily necessities will definitely rise. Is this a good thing or a bad thing for us? From a financial perspective, the promotion of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is indeed good news, mainly because solving the problem of deflation is indeed quite tricky. People always feel that things being too cheap is a good thing for us. However, being too cheap may not necessarily be a good thing; being too cheap can only squeeze labor costs. Therefore, the fluctuations in water, electricity, and gas prices, especially their impact on production indices, are significant. So, in the near future, we will definitely see a wave of price increases, and high-speed rail will definitely be the first to bear the brunt. This falls under comprehensive service, and the impact of deflation will affect our timetable in the second half of this year.

Through the above, everyone should have a basic understanding of the different situations faced by the top two GDP economies. The United States is facing global inflation that it cannot digest, while we are facing the opposite, more of a deflation problem. As for the impact of these two, it is actually the same, with no distinction in size. The impact of the US inflation on the financial circle is resolved through interest rate cuts. However, our current base is not as widely affected as the United States. This can be seen from the growth of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs listed in Hong Kong. Especially today, the delay of Ethereum's listing by the United States directly led to the overall pullback trend in the cryptocurrency circle, and the timing of interest rate cuts is also affecting the global bull market launch point.

Returning to the right track, the impact of these two can be said to have a certain time lag effect on the cryptocurrency circle. Regardless of whether it is a deflation or inflation issue, the problem faced by the cryptocurrency circle ultimately comes down to one thing, which is the issue of capital intervention. The listing in Hong Kong basically confirms that there is currently no excess wealth from Asia that can enter the cryptocurrency circle, and the attitude shown by the purchase of over 20 million WU by Boshi Fund today is also quite clear. Capital still favors the current cryptocurrency market, but it is restricted by the global capital's encirclement of Asian assets. It is difficult to bring peace to one's own family, and the current situation of Asian capital can be seen as a mud Bodhisattva in the entire global market, with everyone passing by wanting to take a piece of the pie.

Everyone does not need to worry about this. We still need to return to our previous point, the United States has never explicitly stated that it will not cut interest rates. Although it has taken many measures, they are all just temporary solutions, and the strategy of delaying interest rate cuts will eventually fail. The day of interest rate cuts will come, and once the timing of the interest rate cut is determined, it will basically trigger an outbreak in the financial circle. For the fans of Lao Cui, the general trend can basically be determined, and the small-scale pullbacks or even waterfall declines will not affect our final results. This viewpoint has been presented to everyone by Lao Cui many times, but coin friends still ask Lao Cui this question every day.

The above is for spot users. Basically, the profit situation of spot users in Lao Cui's hands is still considerable, at least there have been no losses. In a profitable state, there is no need to be so nervous. A common problem that often arises is that when there is a 1000-point retracement, people rush to ask Lao Cui whether the market is about to turn, and whether it is about to enter a bear market phase. Currently, whether it is a bear market or a bull market, it is difficult to come by. The global financial low point has almost been surpassed, and the next step can only be an upward trend. There may be retracements in the short term, but it will not directly enter a bear market phase (including stepping into a bull market phase in one go).

So, in the near term, for contract users, it is still in a wide-ranging oscillation. The requirement for contract users is to control the position well and not to leverage their capital too much. By basically operating within this wide range, there will be no issues of liquidation. Users who can operate with more than 5 positions in Bitcoin should not touch the contract. Spot trading can still be operated in short-term swings, and as long as contract users do not engage in extreme operations, they can continue to profit within the entire wide-ranging oscillation, and the positions that are basically trapped can be resolved, so there is no need to cut losses. If you are unsure about specific entry positions, you can directly ask Lao Cui!

Lao Cui's message: Investment is like playing chess. A master can see five steps, seven steps, or even a dozen steps ahead, while a novice can only see two or three steps. The master focuses on the overall situation, plans for the big picture, and does not focus on individual moves or territories, with the ultimate goal of winning the game. The novice, on the other hand, fights for every inch, frequently switching between long and short positions, only fighting for short-term gains, and frequently ends up in trouble.

Original article created by public account: Lao Cui Shuobi. If there is any infringement, please contact the author to delete it.

This material is for learning and reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Buying and selling based on this material is at your own risk!

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