Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui Shuo Bi, focusing on the analysis of digital currency market trends, striving to convey the most valuable market information to the majority of currency friends. Welcome the attention and likes of the majority of currency friends, and refuse any market smokescreen!

After talking about the recent trend, I also integrated the international financial environment to explain to everyone. I believe that everyone has a certain understanding of the future trend. Due to the recent signs of warming in the currency circle, everyone's opinions are also diverse. Lao Cui wants to emphasize that we should not wait for the bull market to come when the market arrives, and any signs of decline indicate the outbreak of a bear market. The overall financial environment does not support large fluctuations in the currency circle. Of course, if you think that the recent fluctuations around 5000 points for Bitcoin are significant, then you can disregard Lao Cui's viewpoint. The recent rise is almost unrelated to the listing in Hong Kong. The ultimate reason is mostly the impact of the real non-agricultural data from the United States, which finally couldn't bear the burden and released the true data.

We have also mentioned the impact of the real data from the United States. Although the data is very unreliable, it still leads to relatively mediocre fluctuations in the currency circle. Once the real data is revealed, it still has a relatively strong impact on the financial circle. At the same time, everyone can also infer whether the fluctuation of USDT can affect the trend of the currency circle. These days, the price of USDT has once again fallen, and USDT around 7.30 can still support the continuous upward trend of the currency circle. As long as the price of USDT does not continue to rise, the bearish sentiment will continue to weaken. Of course, this does not mean that the bull market is about to come. The viewpoint on the bull market always needs to be held with a conservative attitude. Without a rate cut, the bull market will never move forward.

Turning our attention back to Hong Kong, most people think that this round of growth comes from the aftermath of the listing in Hong Kong, but Lao Cui does not think so. The very straightforward point of view is the movement of funds. Currently, there is almost no significant fluctuation at the Asian level. This also confirms our previous speculation. The current listing of ETFs in Hong Kong is more inclined to open up the foreign exchange channel, and trading is still a secondary use. Once this concept is clarified, everyone can basically see the future trend. The high point of this round of rise depends on the timeline of the rate cut in the United States. The exposure of non-agricultural data is mostly due to the fact that external funds have not yet arrived, which indirectly leads to the possibility of an earlier rate cut.

Lao Cui's consistent advocacy is to hope that everyone will have an open-minded approach to every market. The implementation of any measure must have its pros and cons. For example, in this round of listing in Hong Kong, there was a time difference. Most people thought that after the listing, there would be a wave of bull markets, but instead, there was a rapid decline. Without the rescue of the real non-agricultural data from the United States, this round would likely have stabilized in the range of 55000-60000 for Bitcoin. Similarly, everyone should not ignore the data aspect of the United States. The issue of a rate cut will always have a greater impact on the news aspect of all financial markets, except for the military aspect. The decision on a rate cut will determine the trend of all financial markets in the next 3-5 years. As long as there is a rate cut, the arrival of the bull market in the currency circle will be officially launched.

In the short term, whether it is for contract or spot users, I believe that these two days have also earned some profits. Entering at the 60000 point for Bitcoin, you can now prepare to exit. Compared to the overall decline, this point is indeed not a perfect entry point. Fortunately, some dividends have been earned. Not only do you have the idea of an absolute low point, Lao Cui also makes such mistakes. The fact proves that Lao Cui is not as omnipotent as everyone thinks. Breaking through the 60,000 mark and dropping directly to the 56000 position, Lao Cui indeed exceeded his cognition. Many friends have also questioned why Lao Cui did not choose to enter the long position at 57000, and insisted on waiting for the stabilization of the 60,000 mark before choosing to enter and lurk?

Regarding this issue, Lao Cui will give a unified answer: First of all, Lao Cui does not have the ability to foresee the future. If Lao Cui had this ability, everyone would not have access to Lao Cui at this level. The work that Lao Cui does can only help, or rather assist everyone, in how to expand our profits while minimizing risks. It can be said that Lao Cui's approach is usually more conservative, so those friends with high leverage in contracts, or even full positions, can find other analysts. Walking with consensus and winning together is Lao Cui's philosophy. If the 60,000 mark cannot stabilize, there is no need to talk about the arrival of the bullish trend. In the case of a rapid decline, Lao Cui cannot guarantee whether the bottom position is stable, so waiting is the most reasonable approach. Once the bottom position is determined, it is the time for us to take action. Once the entry target of each round is achieved, you can exit at any time for safety.

Looking ahead, we cannot blindly be bullish. The profit targets for this round of spot and contract have basically been achieved. Bitcoin needs to stabilize at the 65000 mark for the next trend to unfold. Currently, the pressure on reaching the mark is still strong, so it's best for everyone to wait for Lao Cui's notification. Of course, this does not mean a short-term bearish trend. There is no such absolute market trend. Currently, the market trend still tends to be bullish. Even if your long positions have not exited, you can continue to wait for the right exit opportunity.

Original article from public account: Lao Cui Shuo Bi. If there is any infringement, please contact the author to delete it.

Lao Cui's message: Investment is like playing chess. Masters can see five steps, seven steps, or even a dozen steps ahead, while those with lower skills can only see two or three steps. The high-level player considers the overall situation and plans for the general trend, not focusing on every single move, but aiming for the ultimate victory. On the other hand, the lower-level player fights for every inch, frequently switching between long and short positions, only fighting for short-term gains, and frequently getting trapped.

This material is for learning and reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Buying and selling based on this material is at your own risk!

免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。