Trading philosophy: Look at the trend in the big cycle, and find the position in the small cycle.

Technical analysis: Regarding Bitcoin, the daily candle closed near 58300 with a bearish trend, confirming the effective breakthrough of the 60000-59000 trend line. The MACD moving average and KDJ line continue to move downwards, and the bearish volume continues to increase. The Bollinger Bands are also running downwards. The 4-hour candle trend basically meets expectations, with a confirmed rebound pressure forming an upward pin candlestick followed by a fall. The MACD moving average and KDJ line briefly adjust upwards before turning downwards again, and the bearish volume begins to decrease. As for Ethereum, the daily candle closed near 2970, confirming the effective breakthrough of the 3000 trend line, and various technical indicators are basically synchronized with Bitcoin.

Overall, the market fluctuations and impact after the announcement of the early morning Fed decision are basically consistent with the previous expectations. The subsequent market will confirm the rebound pressure level, then continue the bearish trend. It is prudent to wait for a rebound near the pressure level to go short, while those with an aggressive approach can go long with a light position to see a rebound recovery. Therefore, the pre-layout strategy of going long first and then short has been perfectly verified, achieving success in both long and short positions. For Bitcoin: Go long at 56700-57200, with a target of 58300-59000! Go short at 58800-59300, with a target of 58000-57000! For Ethereum: Go long at 2820-2850, with a target of 2920-2950! Go short at 2930-2960, with a target of 2850-2800! Although the rebound strength of Ethereum was not particularly accurate, it operated synchronously with Bitcoin, which was basically not a big problem. If you followed the operations back and forth, conservatively, you could gain 4000-5000 points from Bitcoin and 200-300 points from Ethereum. Currently, after testing the pressure level, the subsequent operation is mainly to go short near the pressure level and to go long near the support level. In the short term, maintain a strategy of selling high and buying low!

Reference:

Bitcoin pressure level 58500-59000, support level 57000-56500

Ethereum pressure level 3000-2980, support level 2870-2850

The strategy is time-sensitive, and specific guidance in real time is subject to change privately!

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