Daily Sharing
Bitcoin surged above 67000 twice from last night to today, but failed to break through 67232. It is possible that there will be a 15-minute level consolidation here, followed by a retracement below 56000 to complete a 1-hour level pullback. If this is the case, it means that the second 1-hour level retracement will be carried out in a consolidating and shallow retracement manner, indicating a very strong market trend and increasing the probability of breaking through 70500 in the future.
If you didn't go long near 60000, or even in the 59000-60000 range, chasing the rise midway will be quite uncomfortable. The market's upward momentum is not very good, making it difficult to hold long positions. However, waiting for a suitable retracement may not necessarily be fulfilled.
The overall rebound on the 4-hour level is expected to continue towards 69000 or above. The rebound on the 4-hour level has not ended yet, so patience is needed. If the trend is very strong, it is very likely to directly break through 73777.
BTC
Due to the rapid changes in the market, this article can only make predictions based on the market changes at the time of publication. Short-term players should pay attention to the latest market changes and use this information as a reference only.
1H:
At the 1-hour level, Bitcoin's second 1-hour level retracement has not yet effectively emerged. It is still necessary to observe whether the short-term can retrace to the 65500-66000 range to complete an effective 1-hour level retracement. There will be a third 1-hour level rebound to push towards 69000. If the subsequent structure is more complex, it may consolidate a 1-hour level consolidation and then continue to rise.
15M:
At the 15-minute level, in the short term, it is observed whether the 15-minute level retracement can retrace to the 65500-66000 range to complete a 1-hour level retracement. If it still cannot retrace to this position, it may upgrade to a 1-hour level consolidation in a 9-wave 15-minute level structure. Further observation is needed to determine the specific type. If it is a 9-wave upgrade, at least 4 more 15-minute structures are needed, which means it will take more than a day to consolidate.
ETH
Ethereum has started to strengthen, consistent with our previous judgment of Ethereum. Ethereum completed the second 1-hour level retracement yesterday and is currently running the third 1-hour level rise. It is expected that the current third 1-hour level rise of Ethereum has not ended yet, and it may need to go through another 15-minute level retracement and a 15-minute level rebound to end.
The overall 4-hour level rebound suggests that Ethereum needs to go through at least 5 waves of 1-hour level structure. There is still a high probability of reaching 3700 in the future.
Trend Direction
Weekly Level: Upward, currently continuing the weekly rebound from 15476, the end time depends on the subsequent daily level situation.
Daily Level: Upward, there is a certain probability that the daily level retracement has ended, but it cannot be determined at the moment. It can only be judged based on the recent 4-hour level rebound momentum.
4-hour Level: Upward, currently undergoing a 4-hour level rebound. Whether it can break through 70500 will be the observation point for the daily level structure.
1-hour Level: Downward, the 1-hour level retracement has not been significant. It would be better if it can retrace slightly below 66000. If it still does not provide an opportunity, it is likely to upgrade to a 9-wave 1-hour level consolidation.
15-minute Level: Consolidating, short-term oscillating in the range of 66000-67100, observing whether the short-term will continue to break through or fall below.
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The article is time-sensitive, pay attention to the risks, the above is only personal advice, for reference only!
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