Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui Shuobi, focusing on the analysis of digital currency market trends, striving to convey the most valuable market information to the majority of currency friends. Welcome to the attention and likes of the majority of currency friends, and refuse any market smoke bombs!

It's time to talk about the old topic again. Lao Cui has always felt that the analysis in yesterday's article was quite thorough. However, after chatting with the friends holding coins, he found that everyone's acceptance level varies. Today, Lao Cui will try to be more straightforward and easier to understand within the platform's restrictions. First of all, the issue of trend. Lao Cui's view on the bullish trend has always been unchanged. However, everyone is more concerned about the recent trend because many friends holding coins are in a state of being trapped. Lao Cui has always believed that when the market warms up, the long positions in everyone's hands can be unwound. However, to his surprise, when he asked, he found that everyone's positions were still struggling in the bloodbath.

Let's talk more thoroughly. The decision that most affects the cryptocurrency circle and the entire financial circle is undoubtedly the attitude of the US towards interest rate cuts. This decision has gradually gained attention domestically since Yellen's visit to China. The momentum can be said to be increasingly strong, which has made Lao Cui feel a bit confused at times. It seems that interest rate cuts are very distant from us, and I believe that everyone has also developed a skeptical attitude towards this. This abnormal move can only indicate that Yellen has not gained any benefits from us. At least in his eyes, the benefits that belong to them have not diminished. The purpose of the visit to China is also very clear, which is to address the issue of funds. Why did the US choose not to cut interest rates despite the chaotic situation domestically? When will interest rates be cut? And will the cryptocurrency market usher in a bull market after the interest rate cut?

Our article today will revolve around these three topics, presenting the future trends directly in front of everyone. First of all, why not cut interest rates? The biggest problem the US faces after cutting interest rates is that they do not have enough capital to compete with the international market. According to the usual practice of the US, they usually raise interest rates, leading to insufficient reserves of assets and funds in third world countries, and they harvest assets at very low prices. However, the harvesting effect of this interest rate hike is not obvious this time, and the biggest variable is us. They did raise interest rates, leading to the collapse of the economy in some countries, but at the same time, we also benefited, so the harvesting effect is not obvious. This has also led to a decrease in the value of the yen, which is not enough to support the interest on US government bonds. In the end, they can only seek reconciliation with us, and seeking reconciliation requires a reconciliatory attitude. This effect is also evident, and it is clear that this approach has already been ruptured. Cutting interest rates is no longer the US's national policy, and it is no longer their decision whether to cut interest rates.

The US is also very clear that after cutting interest rates, capital will definitely flow to us, and cutting interest rates will accelerate their decline. So this contradiction is at a standstill. Choosing to start a trade war is basically a way for a big country to endure, and the US has almost run out of tricks. Because of the high interest rates domestically, they can't even hold on, and without the influx of large funds, the interest rates on government bonds cannot be sustained. In the end, there is only one way, which is to cut interest rates. Therefore, the timing of the interest rate cut is very important. There are only two possible timings, either cutting interest rates in the second half of this year, or cutting interest rates at the beginning of next year, 2025. Cutting interest rates next year is already the US's limit. Unless there are other countries willing to sacrifice their own interests to support the US, there is currently no one else who can be so great. Therefore, according to the established goal, the interest rate will be cut at the latest by the beginning of next year.

So, will the cryptocurrency market enter a bull market after the interest rate cut? The answer is definitely yes. Lao Cui can confirm that once the interest rate is cut and funds are released, and the exchange rate of the US dollar is lowered, the cryptocurrency market will definitely experience explosive growth. Throughout the history of finance, the amount of funds released by the US after an interest rate cut is terrifying, and the energy it brings is also enormous. Especially now, traditional capital can seamlessly enter the cryptocurrency market, and the nature of the cryptocurrency market is becoming more and more perfect. This year is very likely to be a year of explosive growth in the market value of cryptocurrencies. Therefore, the requirements for spot users are not so high before the interest rate cut arrives, and they will always be in a wide-ranging oscillation phase. Everyone just needs to remember one thing, stay in the market and wait for the right opportunity. No matter how big the loss is, a bull market only needs one wave. For contract users, the recent operating method is to buy at new lows and short at highs. There will be no major events of breaking through, so just do it with peace of mind. If you are not sure about the position, you can ask Lao Cui directly.

Lao Cui's message: Investment is like playing chess. A master can see five, seven, or even a dozen moves ahead, while a novice can only see two or three moves. The master considers the overall situation and plans for the big picture, not focusing on individual moves or territories, but aiming to win the game in the end. The novice fights for every inch, frequently switching between long and short positions, only fighting for short-term gains, and as a result, frequently gets trapped.

This material is for learning and reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Buying and selling based on this material is at your own risk!

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