The pricing power of the cryptocurrency market is currently in Wall Street, and the game environment of the US financial market where Wall Street is located is more suitable for adopting a survival strategy of trust and cooperation.

By: NingNing

Different financial markets have different game environments, and we should adopt different survival strategies in different game environments.

The pricing power of the cryptocurrency market is currently in Wall Street, and the game environment of the US financial market where Wall Street is located is more suitable for adopting a survival strategy of trust and cooperation.

Next, we will use the classic game theory game "The Evolution of Trust" to simulate the game environments of the financial markets in the United States and China, and verify why trusting and cooperating in the game environment of the US financial market is a better survival strategy.

1. First, let's introduce the various types of players participating in our simulation game:

• Parrot: Cooperates for the first time, then replicates the opponent's last choice;
• Eternal Deceiver: Never cooperates, always deceives;
• Eternal Optimist: Always cooperates, always trusts;
• Gangster: Cooperates for the first time, but never cooperates again if deceived;
• Sherlock: Cooperates first - deceives - cooperates - cooperates to test the opponent. If the opponent deceives, it becomes a Parrot; if the opponent always cooperates, it becomes an Eternal Deceiver.

• Echo: Similar to the Parrot mechanism, but only starts replicating the opponent's strategy after being deceived twice in a row;
• Stubborn: Chooses to cooperate for the first time. If the opponent cooperates, it will cooperate in the next round; if the opponent deceives, it will deceive in the next round. Stubborn does not allow the opponent to make non-intentional mistakes, with 0 tolerance.
• Random: Randomly deceives or cooperates.

2. Second, set the game environment. "The Evolution of Trust" allows the setting of the following game environment parameters:

• Player composition: Customize the composition ratio of different types of players;
• Payoff: Set the payoff for cooperation-cooperation, deception-cooperation, and deception-deception;
• Rules: Set the number of multiple game rounds, elimination mechanism, and tolerance rate.

For the simulation of the game environment in the US financial market, we set:

• Player composition: Parrot 4, Eternal Deceiver 4, Eternal Optimist 3, Gangster 3, Sherlock 3, Stubborn 3, Echo 0 (Confucian integrity does not exist in the US), Random 5;
• Payoff: Cooperation-cooperation set to (3,3), deception-cooperation (2,-1), deception-deception (0,0);
• Rules: 10 rounds of multiple game plays, eliminate the bottom 5 players after each round, breed the top 5 players, and set a tolerance rate of 5%.

The simulation results show that after 9 rounds of games, only the Eternal Optimist, who always trusts and cooperates, remains on the field.

Now, let's humorously simulate the game environment in the Chinese financial market. For the simulation parameters of the game environment in the Chinese financial market, we set:

• Player composition: Parrot 4, Eternal Deceiver 5, Eternal Optimist 1, Gangster 5, Sherlock 5 (the most shrewd among the Chinese), Stubborn 2, Echo 0 (Confucian integrity does not exist in modern China), Random 3;
• Payoff: Limited rewards for cooperation in the Chinese financial market, with many benefits for deception. Cooperation-cooperation set to (2,2), deception-cooperation (3,-2), deception-deception (0,0);
• Rules: 10 rounds of multiple game plays, eliminate the bottom 5 players after each round, breed the top 5 players, and set a tolerance rate of 5%.

The simulation results show that after 10 rounds of games, only the Gangster, who deceives forever if deceived once, remains on the field.

In conclusion, in the cryptocurrency market, I choose to be an Eternal Optimist, trusting the information released by institutions such as Bloomberg and BlackRock; in the A-share market, I choose to be a Gangster. You can deceive me once, but I will never trust you again and will deceive back. This is what is called "serving the lord with all one's might" 😂

The above is only a personal opinion and not investment advice.

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