Nasdaq added a layer to the existing foundation, while the New York Stock Exchange built a new foundation next to it.

Bitcoin is oscillating near $71,000, with bullish views believing that the bottom has been reached, targeting $74,000; bearish perspectives warn of a potential drop to $68,000. Ethereum faces resistance at $2,200, while TAO has risen nearly 90% this month.

Today the market has clearly entered a pause mode, but it has not yet escaped from fear.

If the trend continues, there may be an upward risk of over 100 basis points in long-end yields.

In late March 2026, Beijing time, negotiations and battlefield escalations between the United States and Iran regarding the Middle East conflict are advancing simultaneously: after the talks broke down in February, military strikes have continued to amplify in March, creating a rare parallel scenario of diplomacy and airstrikes. In this round of complex games, **Iran has explicitly refused to engage with the teams of Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, specifically demanding that negotiations be led by U.S. Vice President JD Vance**, resulting in a significant shift in the U.S. power structure and representation.

In the early morning of March 24, 2026, East Eight Time, Iran launched seven rounds of missile strikes against Israel, covering most of the country. Three buildings in downtown Tel Aviv were hit and damaged, resulting in casualties, and the regional situation instantly escalated to a new level. Almost simultaneously, **Trump declared with great fanfare that negotiations with Iran would begin**, a statement that quickly caused strong unrest in Israel and neighboring countries, seen as a potential variable that could reshape the regional security landscape. Missiles cut through the night sky, negotiations.

On March 24, 2026, public opinion surrounding expectations of U.S.-Iran negotiations suddenly heated up, bringing the tense situation in the Middle East back into the spotlight. Reuters disclosed that Israel, based on its own intelligence and assessment, believes that Iran is "highly unlikely" to accept the conditions proposed by the United States. However, almost at the same time, the Trump administration still sent signals through both public and semi-public channels expressing a "determination to push for an agreement." This set of sharply contrasting judgments was quickly translated and amplified by Chinese encrypted media.

The world loses 10 million barrels of oil every day, while Russia earns 800 million dollars in just over two weeks.

Multiple new accounts on Polymarket bet that the US and Iran will reach a ceasefire before March 31 or April 15, profiting hundreds of thousands of dollars. If a ceasefire occurs by the end of the month, they will profit over one million dollars.

A diplomatic drama that is hard to distinguish between true and false has caused global capital markets to experience a stark contrast within 24 hours. While everyone is focused on crude oil and gold, a familiar figure is quietly regaining lost ground. The situation between the United States and Iran staged a dramatic turnaround in just one trading day. After Trump announced a "delay in strikes," the first reaction from the global market was strikingly uniform: crude oil plummeted sharply, while gold skyrocketed in the short term. This seems to align with traditional risk avoidance logic—when the situation eases, oil prices fall; uncertainty still remains.

"Peter Lynch tells us that investing without research is like playing poker without looking at your cards, and it will inevitably fail! No matter your background, I will give my all, with my expertise."

The condition of the US stock market completely depends on one person's judgment.

On March 23, 2026, before the market opened in Eastern Standard Time, the **Trump administration announced to the public that it had reached a "15-point consensus" with Iran**, among which the most frequently cited by the market is Iran's commitment not to develop nuclear weapons, as well as statements regarding the **reopening plan for the Strait of Hormuz**. This signal quickly shifted the geopolitical narrative, and trading positions immediately switched from a risk-off mode to a repricing mode. By the end of the day, the **Dow Jones Index and the Nasdaq Index both increased by over 2% in a single day, while small-cap stock representative Russell**