Aaron Dishner|11月 14, 2026 02:59
Bitcoin's pullback is now about 22.7%, and I'm comparing it with the repeated 20% corrections we saw in 2023. Daily RSI hit 15.76, which puts us in an interesting opportunity zone, but I'm not calling a confirmed bottom. I still want stronger buying volume and a more convincing lower wick. I've been buying BTC and SOL while keeping the possibility of further downside in mind.
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ETH has filled its downside fair value gap, but I'm not buying it here. I explain why ETH/BTC and dominance still matter, then compare BTC.D, stablecoin dominance, OTHERS.D, TOTALE50.D, TOTALE100.D, TOTALES, OTHERS, TOTAL3ESBTC and OTHERSBTC. Relative strength in alts doesn't erase their bearish trends. I also check DXY, EUR/USD, USD/JPY, S&P futures, VIX, NVDA, oil, gold, silver, copper, PAXG/BTC and Bitcoin against gold for clues about what could come next.
JUP and NIGHT are holding up better than many charts, while AKE's roughly 400% day shows how quickly crypto can recover without guaranteeing the same for everything else. I review INJ, CAP, AERO, WLD, XMR, PIEVERSE, BEAM, XRP, BCH, MNT and APT, then Club picks AIOZ, FET, LTC, ONDO, PEPE, QUBIC, STRK, VIRTUAL, ZEC and ZIG. Stocks and ETFs include AMZN, BN, CIBR, DRUP, E3B, EOAN, INTC, ENRG, GSK, LSX, MRVL, PAVE, S0LR, UMDV and V, before PUMP, IUIT and AAVE. I'm looking for context from RSI, volume and the TBO, not assuming oversold means it can't fall further.
CHAPTER MARKERS
00:00 Bitcoin's 22% pullback and the 2023 comparison
09:43 Ethereum's fair value gap and dominance shifts
15:58 Oversold market caps, altcoin ratios and TradFi
20:58 NVDA, commodities and Bitcoin versus gold
28:55 My picks: relative strength, support and AKE's rebound
36:38 Club picks: crypto, stocks and ETFs
42:25 YouTube picks: PUMP, IUIT, AAVE and final thoughts
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