星球日报|Oct 13, 2026 23:42
[Prediction Market Data Shows Only a 27% Probability of Bitcoin Reaching $100,000 Before 2027]
Odaily Planet Daily reports that data from prediction market platform Polymarket indicates the trading volume for its Bitcoin 2026 price market is approximately $75.1 million. The probability of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 before 2027 is 27%, while the probability of hitting this price before November 2026 is only 2%. Polymarket also shows a 57% probability of Bitcoin reaching $80,000 in October 2026, with probabilities of 33% and 21% for reaching $77,500 and $75,000, respectively. The probability of hitting $90,000 is 32%.
Prediction market platform Kalshi forecasts Bitcoin's price in October at $87,000, with a year-end prediction of $83,554. For its October events, the probability of Bitcoin exceeding $87,500 is 49%, while the probabilities of surpassing $90,000 and $92,500 are 35% and 22%, respectively.
Polymarket data further shows a 48% probability of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by March 31, 2027, rising to 58% by the end of June, and reaching 70% by December 31, 2027. (Bitcoin.com News)
Share To
Timeline
HotFlash
APP
X
Telegram
CopyLink