Rocky|Aug 15, 2026 04:54
After checking out the Q2 holdings of Silicon Valley genius Leopold's fund, Situational Awareness, I finally understand why it got liquidated at the end of July!
1️⃣ ALL IN on storage, 4x leverage on naked longs, with zero hedging. SNDK 28.52% + MU 28.01%. If any single position -20%, NAV drops 5.7%; if any single position -40%, NAV drops 11.4%. Add in 4x leverage, and if either MU or SNDK drops -20% in a single week, it triggers a margin call, forcing the fund to reduce its positions. No wonder Wall Street sniped him—this is like throwing a chubby goat into the East African savanna!
2️⃣ Overconfidence, even arrogance. Last quarter, I talked about his Q1 holdings, where he had multiple options protection strategies in place, with roughly $8.5 billion in put walls to guard against a semiconductor crash, leaving a solid safety cushion. But maybe he got too confident after the Q1 AI hardware rally and thought "puts are a waste of premium." By Q2, he closed all of them, leaving his portfolio's downside completely exposed to market beta.
I won’t analyze the rest since this 13F report only goes up to July 1. We all know what happened after—the big drop in July and the fund getting acquired by Citadel at the end of the month. Such a shame!
If you want to dive deeper, you can take the source data image I posted below , throw it into an AI tool, and let it analyze everything in detail. Most of the holdings are companies we’re all super familiar with!
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