子棋UVDAO|Jul 31, 2026 09:19
The current trend is essentially a tug-of-war between ETF funds providing support and contract liquidity being harvested.
Looking at ETF funds, there hasn’t been a significant retreat from institutions recently. On the contrary, there’s been a consistent net inflow, indicating that long-term funds are still stepping in, forming strong support in the 63,000-64,000 range.
But in the short term, the liquidation map is more critical:
Currently, there’s a large accumulation of short liquidity above 65,000-66,000. The big players are motivated to push the price up first, triggering stop-losses on short positions. Meanwhile, the 63,000-62,000 range below is packed with leveraged long positions. If the rebound fails, a quick pullback to flush out longs is also possible.
So, BTC right now looks more like it’s consolidating and accumulating rather than trending in a single direction.
In the short term, focus on two key levels:
- A breakout above 66,000 and holding steady could lead to a push toward 67,000-68,000.
- A rebound without volume might result in a pullback to 63,000 or even 62,000 to find support.
ETFs determine the long-term direction, while liquidations dictate short-term volatility.
The biggest mistake in the market right now is chasing pumps and panic-selling dips. The real opportunities often lie in the aftermath of liquidity being flushed out.
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