小龙先生
小龙先生|7月 13, 2026 22:34
CPI drops tonight at 8:30 PM—are we about to see a short-term long opportunity? Bitcoin 4-hour chart: Bearish momentum is weakening. Check out the red bearish volume curve in the chart below. Plus, the price has dropped to the Fibonacci retracement 0.382 level, just above 61,500! If the CPI comes in higher than expected, the price might drop to just above 61,000. This judgment isn’t based on technicals but on the order book. On June 25, July 1, and July 9, when the price fell to the 61,500–62,000 range, large buy orders appeared in the order book. Even if tonight’s CPI is bearish, those buy orders in this range won’t just vanish. If the CPI is higher than expected and we see a sharp drop to 61,000–61,500 followed by a long lower wick + increased volume, that’s definitely a long opportunity. Why? Because it signals the bearish news is priced in + the order book is providing support + the price is in a support zone. Current $BTC long signals: (1) Bearish momentum is weakening ✅ (2) Volume-price divergence (bullish) ✅ (3) Price has dropped to the strong gravitational zone at the 0.382 level ✅ These three signals are already in place. If the subsequent candlesticks show a long lower wick and consecutive green candles, the long signal might actually be triggered after the bearish CPI news. If the CPI is lower than expected and we see an immediate rebound, the long signals might quickly align, but the entry price will likely be much higher than 61,000, making the risk-reward ratio less favorable compared to waiting for a sharp drop. So, the potential post-CPI strategy could be: Bearish news + sharp drop to 61,000–61,500 → look for long opportunities; Bullish news + immediate rebound → wait for a pullback before entering. This is a combined judgment based on the three-dimensional trading system and my personal analysis. Not financial advice, for reference only.
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