7.6 BitTiger Weekly Monthly Half Year Report

Four line Same Closing Formally Enters the End Stage of This Bear Market Round Brothers, a new week has begun! The viewpoint mentioned last week: Multiple Stop Hunts formed during the triple probing of 6w, pay attention to the support level of 58115 Subsequently, with the unexpected interest rate cuts in non farm sectors heating up, after a false breakthrough above the 58k support level, liquidity was once again plundered and the daily line level rose for 5 consecutive days, once again verifying the extremely strong buying demand near 59k. The weekly line has already reversed, and there is a trend of divergence from the weekly line level. Bears will feel uncomfortable for a while and continue to endure until the FOMC meeting at the end of the month Returning to the pancake review Technical aspect: Weekly chart: Last week, the Big Dipper at 59577-63650 closed higher, with the K-line directly rebounding and the closing price returning to the previously contested 63300 around the previous four weeks. The support level (last week's lowest price) is around 57800, and the pressure level (last week's highest price) is around 65622 Monthly chart: Last month's big cake fell from 73674 to 58624, with the K-line crossing the March bearish candlestick. The support level (last month's closing price) is 58624, the pressure level (April's lowest price) is 65712, and the bull bear transition level (last month's opening price) is 73K Seasonal line: 114048-87648-68284-58624 closed down, with three consecutive declines. Throughout the history of the pancake market, there have only been three consecutive declines, and this is the fourth one (25-26 years) After the first three consecutive declines (14-15 years), the bear market hit a large bottom area, followed by two consecutive dips followed by rapid detachment from the bear bottom. The second three consecutive declines (19-20 years) were formed by the black swan of the epidemic, and four consecutive dips were pulled after hitting the bottom. After the first four consecutive declines and the third three consecutive declines (22 years), the large bottom area also quickly detached from the bottom area. It is obvious that in probability, the next two quarters and six months will meet the ultimate bear bottom area of this round Half year line: 107146-87648-58624 closed down, with the same quarterly trend. However, after confirming the end of the continuous decline, the market has started a big bull market with four or five consecutive rises. Currently, it is the third time in history that there have been two consecutive declines, with the highest being three consecutive declines. Looking at the K pattern alone, in the first half of the year, there is a high probability that it will be the second time in history that there will be three consecutive declines in the second half of the year, with at least a downward trend indicating a downward shadow (2027 to be verified) News aspect (macro+funding aspect): 1. Non farm payroll fell significantly short of expectations, and the expectation of a year-end interest rate cut has once again risen. The probability of a rate hike on September 26th has dropped to 54.5% OUSD stablecoin emerges, with 140 companies participating in endorsement 3. Clear bill continues to be postponed, next time point is August 7th Spot ETF: June as a whole: Net outflow of nearly 4.5 billion created the worst month in history, but last week reversed the continued outflow trend Then serialize and update the data you are interested in MA200：76723——75672——74709 STH：71082——69709——68828 TMP：77072——76795——76541 RP：53408——53216——53061 LTH：49740——49805——49811 CVDD：46275——46316——46396 Average mining cost: 45440-45480-44780 BTC：63900——60000—— 63200 Finally, we still need to wait for the signal confirmation. Objectively speaking, the weekly level is repeatedly exploring liquidity plundering around 60K, and the bullish structure is strengthening. We will see if we continue to attack and test the 65K pressure zone or the 59K support zone again this week Brothers, see you next week!! sixty-three thousand and one hundred ✊