wu fan|7月 03, 2026 07:40
The stablecoin space
The undisputed leader is definitely USDT.
It grew wildly,
without regulatory compliance,
going from $0 to $200 billion.
If there were a chance to buy a compliant version of Tether
with a $20 billion market cap,
I definitely wouldn’t miss it.
But there’s no ‘if.’
So when it comes to $CRCL,
it’s hard not to be tempted.
Whether the win rate is 25% or 90%, I need to clarify—
a lot of people might misunderstand this.
If we calculate using conventional methods,
we can only base it on market share, which is around 24%.
It fluctuates between 10-25% (from last year to this year).
But if we consider compliant stablecoins,
$CRCL’s $USDC accounts for nearly 90%.
If you believe $USDT will eventually get taken down, penalized, or restricted,
then $CRCL, as the leader in compliant stablecoins, has a win rate of 90%+.
We can’t ignore the scenario where $USDT still exists.
In other words, based on objective facts,
$CRCL’s current win rate is roughly 25%.
But my personal judgment and heavy bet
are based on market share in the compliant space.
I personally believe it’s 90%+.
It’s important to distinguish between objective facts
and my subjective judgment.
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