律动BlockBeats
律动BlockBeats|Jun 18, 2026 05:08
Analyst: The conditions for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates are not yet mature, but reasons are accumulating BlockBeats News: On June 18th, Federal Reserve officials hinted on Wednesday local time that they may soon need to raise interest rates rather than cut them, a sharp shift in thinking against the backdrop of rapidly rising inflation. Evercore ISI analyst Krishna Guha said that the decline in energy prices may bring some relief in the coming months. But he warned that the interest rate outlook has decoupled from oil prices, indicating deeper uncertainty about whether potential inflation will cool down enough for the Federal Reserve not to ultimately raise interest rates. Guha said that in addition to energy, there are still two pressures: the sustained transmission effect of tariffs and the cost spillover brought about by the investment boom in artificial intelligence infrastructure. Claudia Sam, Chief Economist of New Century Consulting and former Federal Reserve economist, stated that there are currently no conditions that would typically prompt the Federal Reserve to respond to supply driven inflation, such as overheated labor markets or anchored inflation expectations. But she acknowledges that the reasons for taking action are accumulating. I understand the viewpoint that the Federal Reserve should be prepared to intervene and raise interest rates if the situation worsens, "she said. The Federal Reserve's pace of action may be faster than during the surge in inflation during the pandemic, as' they are already engaged in this debate '.
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