灯塔说
灯塔说|6月 12, 2026 03:55
Trade Review: It feels like a short-term bottom has formed, and a rebound is on the way. Bulls might finally have some hope. Before the non-farm payroll data, the market's fear of data exceeding expectations and accelerating rate hikes sped up the downturn. Then the CPI data meeting expectations hit the brakes hard. But Trump's recent threats to strike Iran reignited market concerns about escalating tensions (energy crisis), causing BTC, gold, and U.S. stocks, which were ready to stabilize, to go sideways. Last night, with Trump canceling the strike and promoting a more likely ceasefire agreement, the market cleared the fog and is now ready to embrace a better rebound ahead. Two days ago, I went long on crude oil publicly because of Trump's saber-rattling, expecting the situation to escalate. Prices went from $87 to $92, but since Trump stayed at the "all talk, no action" stage, the market didn't buy it and reversed sharply. It hit my raised stop-loss level, so I exited with a small profit. Yesterday, I publicly went long on gold and U.S. stocks across all media platforms, focusing more on technical low points to preemptively position myself. It hit the target in just one day—felt pretty good. Last night's signal actually reinforced the upcoming short-term rebound trend. We can dive into the details during a live stream when there's a chance. **[Just remember one core idea: all the bearish factors stem from energy issues. Once energy is resolved, the bearish factors are easier to mitigate.]** With the current bearish factors already exhausted, only bullish opportunities remain. However, this isn't a long-term trend yet. A long bull trend requires liquidity inflows and monetary easing, which aren't present at the moment. The recent opportunities have been solid, and trades have been smooth—feel free to get closer. BTC MU XAU AVGO
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